不确定性决策违背“确定事件原则”的心理机制再探
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | 汪祚军1,2; 李纾1![]() |
刊名 | 应用心理学
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出版日期 | 2012 |
卷号 | 18期号:1页码:24-31 |
关键词 | 确定事件原则 分离效应 基于理由的假设 不确定性 |
ISSN号 | 1006-6020 |
其他题名 | Re-examining the Mechanism of the Violations of Savage's Sure-thing Principle under Uncertainty |
产权排序 | 2 |
通讯作者 | 李纾 |
中文摘要 | 不确定性决策违背"确定事件原则"的心理机制再探从决策理由切入,在现实情境中考察了违背确定事件原则(sure-thing principle)的心理机制,检验了基于理由(reason-based)的假设。研究结果表明,违背确定事件原则的被试在不确定条件下知觉到的理由冲突程度显著高于遵循确定事件原则的被试在不确定条件下知觉到的理由冲突程度;违背确定事件原则的被试在不确定条件下知觉到的理由清晰程度显著低于其在两种确定条件下知觉到的理由清晰程度,而遵循确定事件原则的被试在不确定条件下知觉到的理由清晰程度则介于其在两种确定条件下知觉到的理由清晰程度之间。研究结果支持了基于理由的假设。 |
英文摘要 | The present study examined the mechanism of the vio- lations of Savage' s sure-thing principle under uncertainty by analyzing the reasons the participants provided on why they were willing to buy a popular brand of beer when they were presented with a 2010 FIFA World Cup in a three-condition scenario. In the two conditions of certainty, the participants imagined that the Argentina either won or lost. In the uncertain condition, the par- ticipants imagined that they did not know whether Argentina won or lost. According to their choice preference over whether they were willing to buy the popular brand of beer, the participants were assigned to those who violated the STP and those who did not. The results re- vealed that those who violated the STP perceived more conflict in the reasons to buy the promoted beer in the uncertain condition than those who did not. Moreover, the reasons to buy the promoted beer were less clear in the uncertain condition than in the two certain condi- tions for the participants who violated the STP but not for those who did not. These results support the "rea- sons-based" account for the violations of Savage' s sure- thing principle. |
学科主题 | 认知心理学 |
收录类别 | CSSCI |
原文出处 | http://159.226.100.28/qk/82542X/201201/42413709.html |
语种 | 中文 |
源URL | [http://ir.psych.ac.cn/handle/311026/14410] ![]() |
专题 | 心理研究所_中国科学院行为科学重点实验室 |
作者单位 | 1.宁波大学心理学系 2.中国科学院心理研究所行为科学重点实验室 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | 汪祚军,李纾. 不确定性决策违背“确定事件原则”的心理机制再探[J]. 应用心理学,2012,18(1):24-31. |
APA | 汪祚军,&李纾.(2012).不确定性决策违背“确定事件原则”的心理机制再探.应用心理学,18(1),24-31. |
MLA | 汪祚军,et al."不确定性决策违背“确定事件原则”的心理机制再探".应用心理学 18.1(2012):24-31. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:心理研究所
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