Precipitation in the Hindu-Kush Karakoram Himalaya: Observations and future scenarios
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Palazzi, E. ; von Hardenberg, J. ; Provenzale, A. |
刊名 | JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES
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出版日期 | 2013 |
卷号 | 118期号:1页码:85-100 |
关键词 | ASIAN SUMMER MONSOON ATMOSPHERIC BROWN CLOUDS CENTRAL-SOUTHWEST ASIA UPPER INDUS BASIN NORTHERN PAKISTAN CLIMATE-CHANGE TIBETAN PLATEAU DENSE NETWORK TRMM PRODUCTS RAIN GAUGES |
ISSN号 | 2169-897X |
中文摘要 | We study the properties of precipitation in the Hindu-Kush Karakoram Himalaya (HKKH) region using currently available data sets. We consider satellite rainfall estimates (Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission), reanalyses (ERA-Interim), gridded in situ rain gauge data (Asian Precipitation Highly Resolved Observational Data Integration Towards Evaluation of Water Resources, Climate Research Unit, and Global Precipitation Climatology Centre), and a merged satellite and rain gauge climatology (Global Precipitation Climatology Project). The data are compared with simulation results from the global climate model EC-Earth. All data sets, despite having different resolutions, coherently reproduce the mean annual cycle of precipitation in the western and eastern stretches of the HKKH. While for the Himalaya only a strong summer precipitation signal is present, associated with the monsoon, the data indicate that the Hindu-Kush Karakoram, which is exposed to midlatitude "western weather patterns", receives water inputs in winter. Time series of seasonal precipitation confirm that the various data sets provide a consistent measurement of interannual variability for the HKKH. The longest observational data sets indicate a statistically significant decreasing trend in Himalaya during summer. None of the data sets gives statistically significant precipitation trends in Hindu-Kush Karakoram during winter. Precipitation data from EC-Earth are in good agreement with the climatology of the observations (rainfall distribution and seasonality). The evolution of precipitation under two different future scenarios (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5) reveals an increasing trend over the Himalaya during summer, associated with an increase in wet extremes and daily intensity and a decrease in the number of rainy days. Unlike the observations, the model shows an increasing precipitation trend also in the period 1950-2009, possibly as a result of the poor representation of aerosols in this type of GCMs. Citation: Palazzi, E., J. von Hardenberg, and A. Provenzale (2013), Precipitation in the Hindu-Kush Karakoram Himalaya: Observations and future scenarios, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 118, 85-100, doi: 10.1029/2012JD018697. |
学科主题 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
收录类别 | SCI |
原文出处 | 10.1029/2012JD018697 |
公开日期 | 2016-05-06 |
源URL | [http://ir.xtbg.org.cn/handle/353005/9755] ![]() |
专题 | 西双版纳热带植物园_文献共享 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Palazzi, E.,von Hardenberg, J.,Provenzale, A.. Precipitation in the Hindu-Kush Karakoram Himalaya: Observations and future scenarios[J]. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES,2013,118(1):85-100. |
APA | Palazzi, E.,von Hardenberg, J.,&Provenzale, A..(2013).Precipitation in the Hindu-Kush Karakoram Himalaya: Observations and future scenarios.JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES,118(1),85-100. |
MLA | Palazzi, E.,et al."Precipitation in the Hindu-Kush Karakoram Himalaya: Observations and future scenarios".JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES 118.1(2013):85-100. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:西双版纳热带植物园
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