Effects of climate change on potential habitats of the cold temperate coniferous forest in Yunnan province, southwestern China
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | LI Wang-jun; PENG Ming-chun; Motoki HIGA; Nobuyuki TANAKA; Tetsuya MATSUI; Cindy Q. TANG; OU Xiao-kun; ZHOU Rui-wu; WANG Chong-yun; YAN Hai-zhong |
| 刊名 | Journal of Mountain Science
 |
| 出版日期 | 2016-08 |
| 卷号 | 13期号:8页码:1411-1422 |
| 关键词 | Classification tree Climate scenarios Vulnerable area Abies Picea Larix Evergreen broad-leaved tree ALOS remote-sensing images |
| ISSN号 | 1672-6316 |
| 通讯作者 | PENG Ming-chun |
| 英文摘要 | We built a classification tree (CT) model to estimate climatic factors controllingthe cold temperate coniferous forest (CTCF) distributions in Yunnan provinceand to predict its potential habitats under the current and future climates, using seven climate change scenarios, projected over the years of 2070-2099. The accurate CT model on CTCFs showed that minimum temperature of coldest month (TMW) was the overwhelmingly potent factor among the six climate variables.The areas of TMW<-4.05 were suitable habitats of CTCF, and the areas of -1.35 < TMW were non-habitats, where temperate conifer and broad-leaved mixed forests (TCBLFs) were distribute in lower elevation, bordering on the CTCF. Dominant species of Abies, Picea, and Larix in the CTCFs, are more tolerant to winter coldness than Tsuga and broad-leaved trees including deciduous broad-leaved Acer and Betula, evergreen broad-leavedCyclobalanopsisand Lithocarpus inTCBLFs. Winter coldness may actually limit the cool-side distributions of TCBLFs in the areas between -1.35°C and -4.05°C, and the warm-side distributions of CTCFs may be controlled by competition to the species of TCBLFs. Under future climate scenarios, the vulnerable area, where current potential (suitable + marginal) habitats (80,749km2) shift to non-habitats, was predicted to decrease to 55.91% (45,053 km2) of the current area.Inferring from the current vegetation distribution pattern, TCBLFs will replace declining CTCFs. Vulnerable areas predicted by models are important in determining priorityof ecosystem conservation. |
| 收录类别 | SCI |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 源URL | [http://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/17442]  |
| 专题 | 成都山地灾害与环境研究所_Journal of Mountain Science _Journal of Mountain Science-2016_Vol13 No.8 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | LI Wang-jun,PENG Ming-chun,Motoki HIGA,et al. Effects of climate change on potential habitats of the cold temperate coniferous forest in Yunnan province, southwestern China[J]. Journal of Mountain Science,2016,13(8):1411-1422. |
| APA | LI Wang-jun.,PENG Ming-chun.,Motoki HIGA.,Nobuyuki TANAKA.,Tetsuya MATSUI.,...&YAN Hai-zhong.(2016).Effects of climate change on potential habitats of the cold temperate coniferous forest in Yunnan province, southwestern China.Journal of Mountain Science,13(8),1411-1422. |
| MLA | LI Wang-jun,et al."Effects of climate change on potential habitats of the cold temperate coniferous forest in Yunnan province, southwestern China".Journal of Mountain Science 13.8(2016):1411-1422. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：成都山地灾害与环境研究所
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