Effects of various combinations of boundary layer schemes and microphysics schemes on the track forecasts of tropical cyclones over the South China Sea
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Chen, Shumin; Qian, Yu-Kun; Peng, Shiqiu |
刊名 | NATURAL HAZARDS
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出版日期 | 2015 |
卷号 | 78期号:1页码:61-74 |
关键词 | Tropical cyclone Numerical forecasting PBL scheme Microphysics scheme Combinations of physical schemes |
通讯作者 | speng@scsio.ac.cn |
中文摘要 | This study investigates the effects of various combinations of the planetary boundary layer (PBL) schemes and the microphysics schemes on the numerical forecasting of tropical cyclones (TCs). Using different combinations of three PBL schemes (YSU, MYJ and MYNN2) and four microphysics schemes (Ferrier, Goddard, WSM6 and Lin), a number of experiments are carried out for five landed TCs in the South China Sea during 2012. Results show that the combination of the YSU and Ferrier schemes performs the best for the TC track forecasting, although it does not perform the best for the forecast of precipitation. Further analysis reveals that the best performance of the track forecast by the combination of the YSU and Ferrier schemes mainly attributes to a more accurate steering flow as well as TC wind structure produced by this combination. These results provide a valuable reference to the operational numerical forecasting of TC tracks in the future. |
学科主题 | Geology; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences; Water Resources |
源URL | [http://ir.scsio.ac.cn/handle/344004/14954] ![]() |
专题 | 南海海洋研究所_热带海洋环境国家重点实验室(LTO) |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Chen, Shumin,Qian, Yu-Kun,Peng, Shiqiu. Effects of various combinations of boundary layer schemes and microphysics schemes on the track forecasts of tropical cyclones over the South China Sea[J]. NATURAL HAZARDS,2015,78(1):61-74. |
APA | Chen, Shumin,Qian, Yu-Kun,&Peng, Shiqiu.(2015).Effects of various combinations of boundary layer schemes and microphysics schemes on the track forecasts of tropical cyclones over the South China Sea.NATURAL HAZARDS,78(1),61-74. |
MLA | Chen, Shumin,et al."Effects of various combinations of boundary layer schemes and microphysics schemes on the track forecasts of tropical cyclones over the South China Sea".NATURAL HAZARDS 78.1(2015):61-74. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:南海海洋研究所
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