Short-Term Solar Flare Prediction Using Predictor Teams
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Huang, Xin1 ; Yu, Daren1; Hu, Qinghua1; Wang, Huaning2; Cui, Yanmei3
|
| 刊名 | SOLAR PHYSICS
 |
| 出版日期 | 2010-05-01 |
| 卷号 | 263期号:1-2页码:175-184 |
| 关键词 | Active regions Magnetic fields Flares, forecasting Ensemble learning |
| 英文摘要 | A short-term solar flare prediction model is built using predictor teams rather than an individual set of predictors. The information provided by the set of predictors could be redundant. So it is necessary to generate subsets of predictors which can keep the information constant. These subsets are called predictor teams. In the framework of rough set theory, predictor teams are constructed from sequences of the maximum horizontal gradient, the length of neutral line and the number of singular points extracted from SOHO/MDI longitudinal magnetograms. Because of the instability of the decision tree algorithm, prediction models generated by the C4.5 decision tree for different predictor teams are diverse. The flaring sample, which is incorrectly predicted by one model, can be correctly forecasted by another one. So these base prediction models are used to construct an ensemble prediction model of solar flares by the majority voting rule. The experimental results show that the predictor team can keep the distinguishability of the original set, and the ensemble prediction model can obtain better performance than the model based on the individual set of predictors. |
| 收录类别 | SCI |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000277148200013 |
| 源URL | [http://ir.bao.ac.cn/handle/114a11/7671]  |
| 专题 | 国家天文台_太阳物理研究部 |
| 作者单位 | 1.Harbin Inst Technol, Harbin, Heilongjiang Pr, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Solar Act, Natl Astron Observ, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Space Sci & Appl Res, Beijing, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Huang, Xin,Yu, Daren,Hu, Qinghua,et al. Short-Term Solar Flare Prediction Using Predictor Teams[J]. SOLAR PHYSICS,2010,263(1-2):175-184. |
| APA | Huang, Xin,Yu, Daren,Hu, Qinghua,Wang, Huaning,&Cui, Yanmei.(2010).Short-Term Solar Flare Prediction Using Predictor Teams.SOLAR PHYSICS,263(1-2),175-184. |
| MLA | Huang, Xin,et al."Short-Term Solar Flare Prediction Using Predictor Teams".SOLAR PHYSICS 263.1-2(2010):175-184. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：国家天文台
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