Study on the forecast effects of PI method to the north and southwest China
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Zhang YX; Zhang XT; Yin XC(尹祥础); Wu YJ |
| 刊名 | Concurrency and Computation-Practice & Experience
 |
| 出版日期 | 2010 |
| 卷号 | 22期号:12页码:1559-1568 |
| 通讯作者邮箱 | wuyongj@mails.gucas.ac.cn |
| 关键词 | PI method retrospective forecast test north China southwest China |
| ISSN号 | 1532-0626 |
| 通讯作者 | Wu YJ |
| 合作状况 | 国内 |
| 中文摘要 | In this paper, the codes of Pattern Informatics (PI) method put forward by Rundle et al. have been worked out according to their algorithm published, and the retrospective forecast of PI method to North China (28.0 degrees-42.0 degrees N, 108.0 degrees-125.0 degrees E) and to Southwest China (22.0 degrees-28.3 degrees N, 98.0 degrees-106.0 degrees E) has been tested. The results show that the hit rates in different regions show a great difference. In Southwest China, 32 earthquakes with M(L)5.0 or larger have occurred during the predicted time period 2000-2007, and 26 out of the 32 earthquakes occurred in or near the hot spots. In North China, the total number of M(L)5.0 or larger was 12 during the predicted time period 2000-2007, and only 3 out of the 12 earthquakes occurred in or near the hot spots. From our results, we hold that if the PI method could be applied to all kinds of regions, the parameters associated with time points and time windows should be chosen carefully to obtain the higher hit rate. We also found that the aftershocks in a strong earthquake sequence affect the PI results obviously. Copyright (c) 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. |
| 类目[WOS] | Computer Science, Software Engineering ; Computer Science, Theory & Methods |
| 研究领域[WOS] | Computer Science |
| 关键词[WOS] | PATTERN INFORMATICS METHOD ; SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA ; THRESHOLD SYSTEMS ; EARTHQUAKE EVENTS ; DYNAMICS |
| 收录类别 | SCI |
| 原文出处 | http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/cpe.1515 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000281329200005 |
| 公开日期 | 2011-03-01 ; 2011-03-30 |
| 源URL | [http://dspace.imech.ac.cn/handle/311007/43551]  |
| 专题 | 力学研究所_非线性力学国家重点实验室 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhang YX,Zhang XT,Yin XC,et al. Study on the forecast effects of PI method to the north and southwest China[J]. Concurrency and Computation-Practice & Experience,2010,22(12):1559-1568. |
| APA | Zhang YX,Zhang XT,尹祥础,&Wu YJ.(2010).Study on the forecast effects of PI method to the north and southwest China.Concurrency and Computation-Practice & Experience,22(12),1559-1568. |
| MLA | Zhang YX,et al."Study on the forecast effects of PI method to the north and southwest China".Concurrency and Computation-Practice & Experience 22.12(2010):1559-1568. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：力学研究所
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