Prediction of extreme wind speed under the background of climate change
文献类型：会议论文
| 作者 | Wang LZ(王黎珍) ; Li JC(李家春); Wang, L.; Wang, L.; Wang, L.; Wang, L.; Wang, L.
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| 出版日期 | 2010 |
| 会议名称 | 9th ISOPE Pacific/Asia Offshore Mechanics Symposium, PACOMS-2010 |
| 会议日期 | November 14, 2010 - November 17, 2010 |
| 会议地点 | Busan, Korea, Republic of |
| 关键词 | Extreme wind speed Marine environment Nonstationary Return periods Tropical cyclone |
| 通讯作者 | Wang, L. |
| 中文摘要 | In this paper, 64-year tropical cyclone (TC) data in the Northwest Pacific (NWP) were analyzed to predict extreme wind speed under the background of climate change. The extreme value theory is presented in order to obtain extreme wind speed with different return periods in both stationary and non-stationary processes in the NWP. Results show that the non-stationary extreme wind speed of 50-year return periods is 3.2% higher than the stationary one in the NWP. As a result, it is proposed that the non-stationary effects of long-term variation in atmospheric general circulation should be considered in the offshore engineering standard or criterion revision. Copyright © 2010 by The International Society of Offshore and Polar Engineers. |
| 收录类别 | EI |
| 会议录 | Proceedings of the 9th (2010) ISOPE Pacific/Asia Offshore Mechanics Symposium, PACOMS-2010
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| 语种 | 英语 |
| ISBN号 | 9781880653791 |
| 源URL | [http://dspace.imech.ac.cn/handle/311007/60353]  |
| 专题 | 力学研究所_环境力学重点实验室(2009-2011) |
| 通讯作者 | Wang, L.; Wang, L.; Wang, L.; Wang, L.; Wang, L. |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wang LZ,Li JC,Wang, L.,et al. Prediction of extreme wind speed under the background of climate change[C]. 见:9th ISOPE Pacific/Asia Offshore Mechanics Symposium, PACOMS-2010. Busan, Korea, Republic of. November 14, 2010 - November 17, 2010. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：力学研究所
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