A method for the prediction of relative sunspot number for the remainder of a progressing cycle with application to cycle 23
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Li, KJ ; Zhan, LS; Wang, JX; Liu, XH; Yun, HS; Xiong, SY; Liang, HF; Zhao, HZ
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| 刊名 | ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS
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| 出版日期 | 2002-09-01 |
| 卷号 | 392期号:1页码:301-307 |
| 关键词 | Sun : activity Sun : sunspots Sun : general |
| 英文摘要 | In this paper, we investigate the prospect of using previously occurring sunspot cycle signatures to determine future behavior in an ongoing cycle, with specific application to cycle 23, the current sunspot cycle. We find that the gross level of solar activity (i.e., the sum of the total number of sunspots over the course of a sunspot cycle) associated with cycle 23, based on a comparison of its first several years of activity against similar periods of preceding cycles, is such that cycle 23 best compares to cycle 2. Compared to cycles 2 and 22, respectively, cycle 23 appears 1.08 times larger and 0.75 times as large. Because cycle 2 was of shorter period, we infer that cycle 23 also might be of shorter length (period less than 11 years), ending sometime in late 2006 or early 2007. |
| 收录类别 | SCI |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000177868700030 |
| 源URL | [http://ir.bao.ac.cn/handle/114a11/8522]  |
| 专题 | 国家天文台_星系宇宙学研究部 |
| 作者单位 | 1.Yunnan Observ, YN-650011 Yunnan, Peoples R China 2.CAS, Natl Astron Observ, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.CAS, Acad Grad, Beijing, Peoples R China 4.Jingdezhen Comprehens Coll, Dept Phys, Jiangxi, Peoples R China 5.Jiaozuo Educ Coll, Dept Phys, Henan, Peoples R China 6.Seoul Natl Univ, SEES, Astron Program, Seoul, South Korea 7.Yunnan Observ Lib, Yunnan, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Li, KJ,Zhan, LS,Wang, JX,et al. A method for the prediction of relative sunspot number for the remainder of a progressing cycle with application to cycle 23[J]. ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS,2002,392(1):301-307. |
| APA | Li, KJ.,Zhan, LS.,Wang, JX.,Liu, XH.,Yun, HS.,...&Zhao, HZ.(2002).A method for the prediction of relative sunspot number for the remainder of a progressing cycle with application to cycle 23.ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS,392(1),301-307. |
| MLA | Li, KJ,et al."A method for the prediction of relative sunspot number for the remainder of a progressing cycle with application to cycle 23".ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS 392.1(2002):301-307. |
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来源：国家天文台
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