Large-scale climate patterns and precipitation in an arid endorheic region: linkage and underlying mechanism
文献类型：SCI/SSCI论文
| 作者 | Shi P. F.; Yang, T.; Zhang, K. ; Tang, Q. H.; Yu, Z. B.; Zhou, X. D.
|
| 发表日期 | 2016 |
| 关键词 | large-scale climate patterns climate phases precipitation teleconnection arid endorheic region amplification effect tarim river-basin nino-southern-oscillation western united-states enso extremes drought variability china |
| 英文摘要 | The interactions between a range of large-scale climate oscillations and their quantitative links with precipitation are basic prerequisites to understand the hydrologic cycle. Restricted by the current limited knowledge on underlying mechanisms, statistical methods (e.g. correlation methods) are often used rather than a physical-based model. However, available correlation methods generally fail to explain the interactions among a wide range of climate oscillations and associated effects on the water cycle. This study presents a new probabilistic analysis approach by means of a state-of-the-art Copula-based joint probability distribution to characterize the aggregated behaviors for large-scale climate patterns and their connections to precipitation. We applied this method to identify the complex connections between climate patterns (westerly circulation (WEC), El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO)) and seasonal precipitation over a typical endorheic region, the Tarim River Basin in central Asia. Results show that the interactions among multiple climate oscillations are non-uniform in most seasons and phases. Certain joint extreme phases can significantly trigger extremes (flood and drought) owing to theamplification effect among climate oscillations. We further find that the connection is mainly due to the complex effects of climatic and topographical factors. |
| 出处 | Environmental Research Letters |
| 卷 | 11 |
| 期 | 4 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| ISSN号 | 1748-9326 |
| DOI标识 | 10.1088/1748-9326/11/4/044006 |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/43193]  |
| 专题 | 地理科学与资源研究所_历年回溯文献 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Shi P. F.,Yang, T.,Zhang, K.,et al. Large-scale climate patterns and precipitation in an arid endorheic region: linkage and underlying mechanism. 2016. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
浏览0
下载0
收藏0
其他版本
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。