Multi-wheat-model ensemble responses to interannual climate variability
文献类型：SCI/SSCI论文
| 作者 | Ruane A. C.; Hudson, N. I.; Asseng, S.; Camarrano, D.; Ewert, F.; Martre, P.; Boote, K. J.; Thorburn, P. J.; Aggarwal, P. K.; Angulo, C. |
| 发表日期 | 2016 |
| 关键词 | Crop modeling Uncertainty Multi-model ensemble Wheat AgMIP Climate impacts Temperature Precipitation lnterannual variability simulation-model crop model nitrogen dynamics winter-wheat large-area systems simulation farming systems yield response growth water |
| 英文摘要 | We compare 27 wheat models' yield responses to interannual climate variability, analyzed at locations in Argentina, Australia, India, and The Netherlands as part of the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) Wheat Pilot. Each model simulated 1981-2010 grain yield, and we evaluate results against the interannual variability of growing season temperature, precipitation, and solar radiation. The amount of information used for calibration has only a minor effect on most models' climate response, and even small multi-model ensembles prove beneficial. Wheat model clusters reveal common characteristics of yield response to climate; however models rarely share the same cluster at all four sites indicating substantial independence. Only a weak relationship (R-2 <= 0.24) was found between the models' sensitivities to interannual temperature variability and their response to long-term warming, suggesting that additional processes differentiate climate change impacts from observed climate variability analogs and motivating continuing analysis and model development efforts. Published by Elsevier Ltd. |
| 出处 | Environmental Modelling & Software |
| 卷 | 81 |
| 页 | 86-101 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| ISSN号 | 1364-8152 |
| DOI标识 | 10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.03.008 |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/43183]  |
| 专题 | 地理科学与资源研究所_历年回溯文献 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ruane A. C.,Hudson, N. I.,Asseng, S.,et al. Multi-wheat-model ensemble responses to interannual climate variability. 2016. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
浏览0
下载0
收藏0
其他版本
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。