中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Learning predictive statistics from temporal sequences: Dynamics and strategies

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Wang, Rui1,2; Shen, Yuan3,4; Tino, Peter4; Welchman, Andrew E.2; Kourtzi, Zoe2
刊名JOURNAL OF VISION
出版日期2017-10-01
卷号17期号:12页码:1-16
ISSN号1534-7362
关键词learning behavior vision
DOI10.1167/17.12.1
产权排序1
文献子类Article
英文摘要

Human behavior is guided by our expectations about the future. Often, we make predictions by monitoring how event sequences unfold, even though such sequences may appear incomprehensible. Event structures in the natural environment typically vary in complexity, from simple repetition to complex probabilistic combinations. How do we learn these structures? Here we investigate the dynamics of structure learning by tracking human responses to temporal sequences that change in structure unbeknownst to the participants. Participants were asked to predict the upcoming item following a probabilistic sequence of symbols. Using a Markov process, we created a family of sequences, from simple frequency statistics (e.g., some symbols are more probable than others) to context-based statistics (e.g., symbol probability is contingent on preceding symbols). We demonstrate the dynamics with which individuals adapt to changes in the environment's statistics-that is, they extract the behaviorally relevant structures to make predictions about upcoming events. Further, we show that this structure learning relates to individual decision strategy; faster learning of complex structures relates to selection of the most probable outcome in a given context (maximizing) rather than matching of the exact sequence statistics. Our findings provide evidence for alternate routes to learning of behaviorally relevant statistics that facilitate our ability to predict future events in variable environments.

WOS关键词8-MONTH-OLD INFANTS ; VISUAL-ATTENTION ; TIME ; PROBABILITIES ; PERFORMANCE ; LANGUAGE ; MEMORY ; MODEL ; TASK
WOS研究方向Ophthalmology
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000417128900001
资助机构Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council(EP/L000296/1) ; Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council(H012508) ; Leverhulme Trust(RF-2011-378) ; European Community's Seventh Framework Programme (FP7)(PITN-GA-2011-290011) ; Wellcome Trust(095183/Z/10/Z)
源URL[http://ir.psych.ac.cn/handle/311026/26010]  
专题心理研究所_中国科学院心理健康重点实验室
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Mental Hlth, Inst Psychol, Beijing, Peoples R China
2.Univ Cambridge, Dept Psychol, Cambridge, England
3.Xian Jiaotong Liverpool Univ, Dept Math Sci, Suzhou, Peoples R China
4.Univ Birmingham, Sch Comp Sci, Birmingham, W Midlands, England
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Wang, Rui,Shen, Yuan,Tino, Peter,et al. Learning predictive statistics from temporal sequences: Dynamics and strategies[J]. JOURNAL OF VISION,2017,17(12):1-16.
APA Wang, Rui,Shen, Yuan,Tino, Peter,Welchman, Andrew E.,&Kourtzi, Zoe.(2017).Learning predictive statistics from temporal sequences: Dynamics and strategies.JOURNAL OF VISION,17(12),1-16.
MLA Wang, Rui,et al."Learning predictive statistics from temporal sequences: Dynamics and strategies".JOURNAL OF VISION 17.12(2017):1-16.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:心理研究所

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