Brittle failure mechanism of multiple locked patches in a seismogenic fault system and exploration on a new way for earthquake prediction
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Qin Si-Qing1; Xu Xi-Wei2; Hu Ping3; Wang Yuan-Yuan1; Huang Xin1; Pan Xiao-Hua1 |
| 刊名 | CHINESE JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICS-CHINESE EDITION
 |
| 出版日期 | 2010-04-01 |
| 卷号 | 53期号:4页码:1001-1014 |
| 关键词 | Earthquake Locked Patch Of a Seismogenic Fault Benioff Strain Constant |
| ISSN号 | 0001-5733 |
| DOI | 10.3969/j.issn.0001-5733.2010.04.025 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | An important effort is carried out worldwide in the hope that, maybe sometime in the future, the grail of useful earthquake prediction will be attained. The seismological community has been criticized in the past for promising results by using various prediction techniques (e. g. anomalous seismic wave propagations, dilatancy diffusion, Mogi donuts, pattern recognition algorithms, etc.) that have not delivered to the expected level. The need for a reassessment of the physical processes has been recognized and more fundamental studies are pursued on crustal structures in seismogenic zones, historical earthquakes, active faults, laboratory fracture experiments, earthquake source processes, etc. There is even now an opinion that earthquakes could be inherently unpredictable. The argument is that past failures and recent theories suggest fundamental obstacles to prediction. It is true that useful predictions are not available at present and seem hard to get in the near future, but would it not be a little presumptuous to claim that prediction is impossible? Many past examples in the development of science have taught us that unexpected discoveries can modify completely what was previously considered possible or not. Here, we demonstrate that an exponential law for earthquake predictions has been discovered and this law has wide applicability for the predictions of catastrophe including earthquakes, landslides and avalanches. |
| WOS关键词 | WENCHUAN EARTHQUAKE ; SLOW EARTHQUAKES ; SLIP EVENTS ; SEISMICITY ; REGION ; FRACTURE ; RELEASE ; MODELS ; DEFORMATION ; PHYSICS |
| WOS研究方向 | Geochemistry & Geophysics |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000277220400025 |
| 出版者 | SCIENCE CHINA PRESS |
| 源URL | [http://ir.iggcas.ac.cn/handle/132A11/73174]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地质与地球物理研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Qin Si-Qing |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geol & Geophys, Key Lab Engn Geomech, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China 2.China Earthquake Adm, Inst Geol, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China 3.Earthquake Adm Beijing City, Beijing 100080, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Qin Si-Qing,Xu Xi-Wei,Hu Ping,et al. Brittle failure mechanism of multiple locked patches in a seismogenic fault system and exploration on a new way for earthquake prediction[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICS-CHINESE EDITION,2010,53(4):1001-1014. |
| APA | Qin Si-Qing,Xu Xi-Wei,Hu Ping,Wang Yuan-Yuan,Huang Xin,&Pan Xiao-Hua.(2010).Brittle failure mechanism of multiple locked patches in a seismogenic fault system and exploration on a new way for earthquake prediction.CHINESE JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICS-CHINESE EDITION,53(4),1001-1014. |
| MLA | Qin Si-Qing,et al."Brittle failure mechanism of multiple locked patches in a seismogenic fault system and exploration on a new way for earthquake prediction".CHINESE JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICS-CHINESE EDITION 53.4(2010):1001-1014. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地质与地球物理研究所
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