Normalization of sunspot cycles and eigen mode analysis
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Xu, WY |
刊名 | SCIENCE IN CHINA SERIES A-MATHEMATICS PHYSICS ASTRONOMY
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出版日期 | 2002-10-01 |
卷号 | 45页码:4-11 |
关键词 | sunspot solar cycle eigen mode analysis prediction of solar activity |
ISSN号 | 1006-9283 |
英文摘要 | The smoothed monthly sunspot numbers of the previous 22 complete sunspot cycles are normalized in time domain, and then an eigen mode analysis is carried out to draw the principle factors (or components) in the cycles. The results show that the main characteristics of the solar cycles can be described fairly well by the first 5 eigen modes. The obtained eigen modes are used to predict the declining phase of cycle 23 on the basis of the data prior to its maximum. The prediction indicates that cycle 23 will last for 127 months to December 2006, with the minimum of 6.2. |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000179653000002 |
出版者 | SCIENCE CHINA PRESS |
源URL | [http://ir.iggcas.ac.cn/handle/132A11/77845] ![]() |
专题 | 中国科学院地质与地球物理研究所 |
通讯作者 | Xu, WY |
作者单位 | Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geol & Geophys, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Xu, WY. Normalization of sunspot cycles and eigen mode analysis[J]. SCIENCE IN CHINA SERIES A-MATHEMATICS PHYSICS ASTRONOMY,2002,45:4-11. |
APA | Xu, WY.(2002).Normalization of sunspot cycles and eigen mode analysis.SCIENCE IN CHINA SERIES A-MATHEMATICS PHYSICS ASTRONOMY,45,4-11. |
MLA | Xu, WY."Normalization of sunspot cycles and eigen mode analysis".SCIENCE IN CHINA SERIES A-MATHEMATICS PHYSICS ASTRONOMY 45(2002):4-11. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地质与地球物理研究所
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