Identification of seismic type of 2017 Iraq M(w)7. 3 earthquake and analysis of its post-quake trend
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Yang BaiCun1,2,3; Qin SiQing1,2,3; Xue Lei1,2; Zhang Ke1,2,3 |
| 刊名 | CHINESE JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICS-CHINESE EDITION
 |
| 出版日期 | 2018-02-01 |
| 卷号 | 61期号:2页码:616-624 |
| ISSN号 | 0001-5733 |
| 关键词 | 2017 Iraq M(w)7. 3 earthquake Multiple locked patches Hierarchical structure Seismic type Post-quake trend |
| DOI | 10.6038/cjg2018L0737 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | The 2017 Iraq M(w)7. 3 earthquake occurred in the Baghdad seismic zone defined by us. The seismic type of the earthquake is discussed according to its different magnitude parameters provided by various agencies, and then its post-quake trend in this seismic zone is analyzed in this paper, based on the theory about the brittle failures of multiple locked patches in a seismogenic fault system. The present results show that if the 2017 Iraq earthquake is with a magnitude of M(w)7. 3, it is identified as a significant foreshock occurred in the evolution process towards the peak strength point of the third locked patch, demonstrating that a M(w)7. 7 similar to 8. 2 (or double earthquakes of M(w)7. 5 similar to 8. 0) characteristic earthquake will take place in the near future because the seismic zone has closed to the critical state; if the 2017 Iraq earthquake is viewed as M(w)7. 5, it may yet be one of the double-shock-type characteristic earthquakes besides as a significant foreshock, implying that the other M(w)7. 5 earthquake will strike the seismic zone within two years; if the 2017 Iraq earthquake is viewed as M(s)7. 8, it is identified as a characteristic earthquake occurred at the peak strength point of the third locked patch, which is in good agreement with our prospective medium-to-long term prediction of this earthquake. Furthermore, we judge that the M(s)7.8 earthquake is not a mainshock, demonstrating that the next M(w)7. 8 similar to 8. 3 (or double earthquakes of M(w)7. 6 similar to 8. 1) characteristic earthquake will take place in the remote future because the seismic zone is far from the critical state at present. |
| WOS关键词 | THRUST BELT ; FRACTURE ; SYSTEM ; ROCKS ; PREDICTION ; FAULTS |
| WOS研究方向 | Geochemistry & Geophysics |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 出版者 | SCIENCE PRESS |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000425840900020 |
| 源URL | [http://ir.iggcas.ac.cn/handle/132A11/82908]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地质与地球物理研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Yang BaiCun |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geol & Geophys, Key Lab Shale Gas & Geoengn, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Earth Sci, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China 3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yang BaiCun,Qin SiQing,Xue Lei,et al. Identification of seismic type of 2017 Iraq M(w)7. 3 earthquake and analysis of its post-quake trend[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICS-CHINESE EDITION,2018,61(2):616-624. |
| APA | Yang BaiCun,Qin SiQing,Xue Lei,&Zhang Ke.(2018).Identification of seismic type of 2017 Iraq M(w)7. 3 earthquake and analysis of its post-quake trend.CHINESE JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICS-CHINESE EDITION,61(2),616-624. |
| MLA | Yang BaiCun,et al."Identification of seismic type of 2017 Iraq M(w)7. 3 earthquake and analysis of its post-quake trend".CHINESE JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICS-CHINESE EDITION 61.2(2018):616-624. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地质与地球物理研究所
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