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Modelling the response of shallow groundwater levels to combined climate and water-diversion scenarios in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Plain, China

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Li, Xue1,2,3; Ye, Si-Yuan1,2,3; Wei, Ai-Hua4; Zhou, Peng-Peng5; Wang, Li-Heng5
刊名HYDROGEOLOGY JOURNAL
出版日期2017-09-01
卷号25期号:6页码:1733-1744
关键词Climate change Groundwater flow Water diversion Numerical modelling China
ISSN号1431-2174
DOI10.1007/s10040-017-1574-4
文献子类Article
英文摘要A three-dimensional groundwater flow model was implemented to quantify the temporal variation of shallow groundwater levels in response to combined climate and water-diversion scenarios over the next 40 years (2011-2050) in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (Jing-Jin-Ji) Plain, China. Groundwater plays a key role in the water supply, but the Jing-Jin-Ji Plain is facing a water crisis. Groundwater levels have declined continuously over the last five decades (1961-2010) due to extensive pumping and climate change, which has resulted in decreased recharge. The implementation of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project (SNWDP) will provide an opportunity to restore the groundwater resources. The response of groundwater levels to combined climate and water-diversion scenarios has been quantified using a groundwater flow model. The impacts of climate change were based on the World Climate Research Programme's (WCRP's) Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 3 (CMIP3) multi-model dataset for future high (A2), medium (A1B), and low (B1) greenhouse gas scenarios; precipitation data from CMIP3 were applied in the model. The results show that climate change will slow the rate of decrease of the shallow groundwater levels under three climate-change scenarios over the next 40 years compared to the baseline scenario; however, the shallow groundwater levels will rise significantly (maximum of 6.71 m) when considering scenarios that combine climate change and restrictions on groundwater exploitation. Restrictions on groundwater exploitation for water resource management are imperative to control the decline of levels in the Jing-Jin-Ji area.
WOS关键词NORTH CHINA ; SPATIAL VARIABILITY ; DOWNSCALING METHODS ; CHANGE IMPACTS ; RIVER-BASIN ; RECHARGE ; UNCERTAINTY ; RESOURCES ; RUNOFF ; PRECIPITATION
WOS研究方向Geology ; Water Resources
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000407923900015
出版者SPRINGER
资助机构Key Program for International S&T Cooperation Projects of China(2016yee0109600) ; Governmental Public Research Funds of China(DD20160144) ; Natural Science Foundation of Science and Technology Department in Hebei Province(D2016403044) ; Key Program for International S&T Cooperation Projects of China(2016yee0109600) ; Governmental Public Research Funds of China(DD20160144) ; Natural Science Foundation of Science and Technology Department in Hebei Province(D2016403044) ; Key Program for International S&T Cooperation Projects of China(2016yee0109600) ; Governmental Public Research Funds of China(DD20160144) ; Natural Science Foundation of Science and Technology Department in Hebei Province(D2016403044) ; Key Program for International S&T Cooperation Projects of China(2016yee0109600) ; Governmental Public Research Funds of China(DD20160144) ; Natural Science Foundation of Science and Technology Department in Hebei Province(D2016403044)
源URL[http://ir.iggcas.ac.cn/handle/132A11/61859]  
专题地质与地球物理研究所_中国科学院页岩气与地质工程重点实验室
通讯作者Li, Xue
作者单位1.Qingdao Inst Marine Geol, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China
2.China Geol Survey, Key Lab Coastal Wetland Biogeosci, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China
3.Qingdao Natl Lab Marine Sci & Technol, Lab Marine Mineral Resources, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China
4.Hebei GEO Univ, Sch Water Resource & Environm, Shijiazhuang 050031, Hebei, Peoples R China
5.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geol & Geophys, Key Lab Shale Gas & Geoengn, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Li, Xue,Ye, Si-Yuan,Wei, Ai-Hua,et al. Modelling the response of shallow groundwater levels to combined climate and water-diversion scenarios in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Plain, China[J]. HYDROGEOLOGY JOURNAL,2017,25(6):1733-1744.
APA Li, Xue,Ye, Si-Yuan,Wei, Ai-Hua,Zhou, Peng-Peng,&Wang, Li-Heng.(2017).Modelling the response of shallow groundwater levels to combined climate and water-diversion scenarios in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Plain, China.HYDROGEOLOGY JOURNAL,25(6),1733-1744.
MLA Li, Xue,et al."Modelling the response of shallow groundwater levels to combined climate and water-diversion scenarios in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Plain, China".HYDROGEOLOGY JOURNAL 25.6(2017):1733-1744.

入库方式： OAI收割

来源：地质与地球物理研究所

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