city bus arrival time prediction based on similarity of road conditions
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Sun Yu-Yan ; Liu Yan ; Zhou Xin-Yun ; Sun Li-Min |
| 刊名 | Ruan Jian Xue Bao/Journal of Software
 |
| 出版日期 | 2012 |
| 卷号 | 23期号:SUPPL.页码:87-99 |
| 关键词 | Buses Forecasting Roads and streets |
| ISSN号 | 1000-9825 |
| 中文摘要 | Currently, bus arrival time prediction studies have not yielded the best results under complex road conditions. A bus arrival time prediction mechanism based on the similarity of road conditions is proposed in this paper. By analyzing the past trip records of the bus, the historical traffic condition of each road section was estimated. The road condition for each trip records was extracted. In the operational phase, each road section's traffic condition was estimated by gathering bus locations continually. The mechanism predicted bus arrival time for the rest bus station by the most similar historical which was searched by the time, distance, and real-time road conditions. The evaluation result using historical data of real bus trips shows that the arrival time prediction of the mechanism is accurate-with an absolute percentage error around 5%. |
| 英文摘要 | Currently, bus arrival time prediction studies have not yielded the best results under complex road conditions. A bus arrival time prediction mechanism based on the similarity of road conditions is proposed in this paper. By analyzing the past trip records of the bus, the historical traffic condition of each road section was estimated. The road condition for each trip records was extracted. In the operational phase, each road section's traffic condition was estimated by gathering bus locations continually. The mechanism predicted bus arrival time for the rest bus station by the most similar historical which was searched by the time, distance, and real-time road conditions. The evaluation result using historical data of real bus trips shows that the arrival time prediction of the mechanism is accurate-with an absolute percentage error around 5%. |
| 收录类别 | EI |
| 语种 | 中文 |
| 公开日期 | 2013-09-17 |
| 源URL | [http://ir.iscas.ac.cn/handle/311060/15417]  |
| 专题 | 软件研究所_软件所图书馆_期刊论文 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Sun Yu-Yan,Liu Yan,Zhou Xin-Yun,et al. city bus arrival time prediction based on similarity of road conditions[J]. Ruan Jian Xue Bao/Journal of Software,2012,23(SUPPL.):87-99. |
| APA | Sun Yu-Yan,Liu Yan,Zhou Xin-Yun,&Sun Li-Min.(2012).city bus arrival time prediction based on similarity of road conditions.Ruan Jian Xue Bao/Journal of Software,23(SUPPL.),87-99. |
| MLA | Sun Yu-Yan,et al."city bus arrival time prediction based on similarity of road conditions".Ruan Jian Xue Bao/Journal of Software 23.SUPPL.(2012):87-99. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：软件研究所
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