Predicting super spreading events during the 2003 severe acute respiratory syndrome epidemics in Hong Kong and Singapore
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Li, YG; Yu, ITS; Xu, PC ; Lee, JHW; Wong, TW; Ooi, PL; Sleigh, AC
|
| 刊名 | AMERICAN JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY
 |
| 出版日期 | 2004-10-15 |
| 卷号 | 160期号:8页码:719-728 |
| 关键词 | disease outbreaks disease transmission infection severe acute respiratory syndrome |
| ISSN号 | 0002-9262 |
| 英文摘要 | One of the intriguing characteristics of the 2003 severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) epidemics was the occurrence of super spreading events (SSEs). Here, the authors report the results of identifying the occurrence of SSEs in the Hong Kong and Singapore epidemics using mathematical and statistical analysis. Their predicted occurrence of SSEs agreed well with the reported occurrence of all seven super spreaders in the two cities. Additional unidentified SSEs were also found to exist. It was found that 71.1% and 74.8% of the infections were attributable to SSEs in Hong Kong and Singapore, respectively. There also seemed to be "synchronized" occurrences of infection peaks in both the community and the hospitals in Hong Kong. The results strongly suggested that the infection did not depend on the total number of symptomatic cases, with only a very small proportion of symptomatic individuals being shown to be infectious (i.e., able to infect other individuals). The authors found that the daily infection rate did not correlate with the daily total number of symptomatic cases but with the daily number of symptomatic cases who were not admitted to a hospital within 4 days of the onset of symptoms. |
| WOS研究方向 | Public, Environmental & Occupational Health |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000224361000001 |
| 出版者 | OXFORD UNIV PRESS INC |
| 源URL | [http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/1011]  |
| 专题 | 应用数学研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Li, YG |
| 作者单位 | 1.Univ Hong Kong, Dept Mech Engn, Pokfulam, Hong Kong, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Univ Hong Kong, Dept Community & Family Med, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Inst Appl Math, Beijing, Peoples R China 4.Univ Hong Kong, Dept Civil Engn, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China 5.Minist Hlth, Dis Control Branch, Singapore, Singapore 6.Natl Univ Singapore, Dept Bldg, Singapore 117548, Singapore 7.Australian Natl Univ, Natl Ctr Epidemiol & Populat Hlth, Canberra, ACT, Australia |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Li, YG,Yu, ITS,Xu, PC,et al. Predicting super spreading events during the 2003 severe acute respiratory syndrome epidemics in Hong Kong and Singapore[J]. AMERICAN JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY,2004,160(8):719-728. |
| APA | Li, YG.,Yu, ITS.,Xu, PC.,Lee, JHW.,Wong, TW.,...&Sleigh, AC.(2004).Predicting super spreading events during the 2003 severe acute respiratory syndrome epidemics in Hong Kong and Singapore.AMERICAN JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY,160(8),719-728. |
| MLA | Li, YG,et al."Predicting super spreading events during the 2003 severe acute respiratory syndrome epidemics in Hong Kong and Singapore".AMERICAN JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY 160.8(2004):719-728. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：数学与系统科学研究院
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