Data characteristic analysis and model selection for container throughput forecasting within a decomposition-ensemble methodology
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Xie, Gang ; Zhang, Ning; Wang, Shouyang
|
| 刊名 | TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART E-LOGISTICS AND TRANSPORTATION REVIEW
 |
| 出版日期 | 2017-12-01 |
| 卷号 | 108页码:160-178 |
| 关键词 | Container throughput Data characteristic analysis Model selection Time series forecasting Decomposition-ensemble methodology |
| ISSN号 | 1366-5545 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.tre.2017.08.015 |
| 英文摘要 | In this study, a novel decomposition-ensemble methodology is proposed for container throughput forecasting. Firstly, the sample data of container throughput at ports are decomposed into several components. Secondly, the time series of the various components are thoroughly investigated to accurately capture the data characteristics. Then, an individual forecasting model is selected for each component based on the data characteristic analysis (DCA). Finally, the forecasting results are combined as an aggregated output. An empirical analysis is implemented for illustration and verification purposes. Our results suggest that proposed hybrid models can achieve better performance than other methods. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[71771207] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71372176] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71390331] ; National Center for Mathematics and Interdisciplinary Sciences, CAS |
| WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Engineering ; Operations Research & Management Science ; Transportation |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000417007900010 |
| 出版者 | PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD |
| 源URL | [http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/137]  |
| 专题 | 系统科学研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Xie, Gang |
| 作者单位 | Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Xie, Gang,Zhang, Ning,Wang, Shouyang. Data characteristic analysis and model selection for container throughput forecasting within a decomposition-ensemble methodology[J]. TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART E-LOGISTICS AND TRANSPORTATION REVIEW,2017,108:160-178. |
| APA | Xie, Gang,Zhang, Ning,&Wang, Shouyang.(2017).Data characteristic analysis and model selection for container throughput forecasting within a decomposition-ensemble methodology.TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART E-LOGISTICS AND TRANSPORTATION REVIEW,108,160-178. |
| MLA | Xie, Gang,et al."Data characteristic analysis and model selection for container throughput forecasting within a decomposition-ensemble methodology".TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART E-LOGISTICS AND TRANSPORTATION REVIEW 108(2017):160-178. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：数学与系统科学研究院
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