中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Data characteristic analysis and model selection for container throughput forecasting within a decomposition-ensemble methodology

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Xie, Gang; Zhang, Ning; Wang, Shouyang
刊名TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART E-LOGISTICS AND TRANSPORTATION REVIEW
出版日期2017-12-01
卷号108页码:160-178
关键词Container throughput Data characteristic analysis Model selection Time series forecasting Decomposition-ensemble methodology
ISSN号1366-5545
DOI10.1016/j.tre.2017.08.015
英文摘要In this study, a novel decomposition-ensemble methodology is proposed for container throughput forecasting. Firstly, the sample data of container throughput at ports are decomposed into several components. Secondly, the time series of the various components are thoroughly investigated to accurately capture the data characteristics. Then, an individual forecasting model is selected for each component based on the data characteristic analysis (DCA). Finally, the forecasting results are combined as an aggregated output. An empirical analysis is implemented for illustration and verification purposes. Our results suggest that proposed hybrid models can achieve better performance than other methods. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China[71771207] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71372176] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71390331] ; National Center for Mathematics and Interdisciplinary Sciences, CAS
WOS研究方向Business & Economics ; Engineering ; Operations Research & Management Science ; Transportation
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000417007900010
出版者PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
源URL[http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/137]  
专题系统科学研究所
通讯作者Xie, Gang
作者单位Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Xie, Gang,Zhang, Ning,Wang, Shouyang. Data characteristic analysis and model selection for container throughput forecasting within a decomposition-ensemble methodology[J]. TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART E-LOGISTICS AND TRANSPORTATION REVIEW,2017,108:160-178.
APA Xie, Gang,Zhang, Ning,&Wang, Shouyang.(2017).Data characteristic analysis and model selection for container throughput forecasting within a decomposition-ensemble methodology.TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART E-LOGISTICS AND TRANSPORTATION REVIEW,108,160-178.
MLA Xie, Gang,et al."Data characteristic analysis and model selection for container throughput forecasting within a decomposition-ensemble methodology".TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART E-LOGISTICS AND TRANSPORTATION REVIEW 108(2017):160-178.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:数学与系统科学研究院

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