中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
From hedging to speculation - An explanation based on prospect theory

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Liu, Qingwei1,2; Li, Yi2; Wang, Shouyang1
刊名JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS SCIENCE & COMPLEXITY
出版日期2008-09-01
卷号21期号:3页码:394-405
关键词hedging loss aversion prospect theory reference point
ISSN号1009-6124
英文摘要This paper studies the impact of the reference point on a hedger's decision based upon prospect theory and experimental evidence on how prior outcomes affect risky choice. The authors show that in the futures market; a hedger who does not adjust his reference point timely would increase his positions continually as his accumulated losses increase, and finally become a speculator. Numerical simulation results under the normal distribution also lend support to the results. The model can help explain why the hedging behavior of firms turns into speculative activities and can offer some new insights into hedging behavior.
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation[70221001]
WOS研究方向Mathematics
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000259101600006
出版者SPRINGER
源URL[http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/6586]  
专题系统科学研究所
通讯作者Liu, Qingwei
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Inst Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Grad Univ, Sch Management, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Liu, Qingwei,Li, Yi,Wang, Shouyang. From hedging to speculation - An explanation based on prospect theory[J]. JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS SCIENCE & COMPLEXITY,2008,21(3):394-405.
APA Liu, Qingwei,Li, Yi,&Wang, Shouyang.(2008).From hedging to speculation - An explanation based on prospect theory.JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS SCIENCE & COMPLEXITY,21(3),394-405.
MLA Liu, Qingwei,et al."From hedging to speculation - An explanation based on prospect theory".JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS SCIENCE & COMPLEXITY 21.3(2008):394-405.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:数学与系统科学研究院

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