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Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Least squares model averaging by Mallows criterion

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Wan, Alan T. K.1; Zhang, Xinyu2; Zou, Guohua2
刊名JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS
出版日期2010-06-01
卷号156期号:2页码:277-283
关键词Asymptotic optimality Continuous weights Mallows criterion Non-nested models
ISSN号0304-4076
DOI10.1016/j.jeconom.2009.10.030
英文摘要This paper is in response to a recent paper by Hansen (2007) who proposed an optimal model average estimator with weights selected by minimizing a Mallows criterion. The main contribution of Hansen's paper is a demonstration that the Mallows criterion is asymptotically equivalent to the squared error, so the model average estimator that minimizes the Mallows criterion also minimizes the squared error in large samples. We are concerned with two assumptions that accompany Hansen's approach. The first is the assumption that the approximating models are strictly nested in a way that depends on the ordering of regressors. Often there is no clear basis for the ordering and the approach does not permit non-nested models which are more realistic from a practical viewpoint. Second, for the optimality result to hold the model weights are required to lie within a special discrete set. In fact, Hansen noted both difficulties and called for extensions of the proof techniques. We provide an alternative proof which shows that the result on the optimality of the Mallows criterion in fact holds for continuous model weights and under a non-nested set-up that allows any linear combination of regressors in the approximating models that make up the model average estimator. These results provide a stronger theoretical basis for the use of the Mallows criterion in model averaging by strengthening existing findings. (C) 2009 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
资助项目Hong Kong Research Grant Council[CityU-102709] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[70625004] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[70221001] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[10721101]
WOS研究方向Business & Economics ; Mathematics ; Mathematical Methods In Social Sciences
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000278655700003
出版者ELSEVIER SCIENCE SA
源URL[http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/10426]  
专题系统科学研究所
通讯作者Wan, Alan T. K.
作者单位1.City Univ Hong Kong, Dept Management Sci, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Wan, Alan T. K.,Zhang, Xinyu,Zou, Guohua. Least squares model averaging by Mallows criterion[J]. JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS,2010,156(2):277-283.
APA Wan, Alan T. K.,Zhang, Xinyu,&Zou, Guohua.(2010).Least squares model averaging by Mallows criterion.JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS,156(2),277-283.
MLA Wan, Alan T. K.,et al."Least squares model averaging by Mallows criterion".JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS 156.2(2010):277-283.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:数学与系统科学研究院

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