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Balancing China's climate damage risk against emission control costs

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Duan, Hongbo1; Zhang, Gupeng2; Wang, Shouyang1,3; Fan, Ying4
刊名MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE
出版日期2018-03-01
卷号23期号:3页码:387-403
关键词Integrated assessment model Climate damage evaluation Adaptation Unilateral emission control action Cost-benefit analysis
ISSN号1381-2386
DOI10.1007/s11027-017-9739-y
英文摘要In this study, we incorporate a three-reservoir climate module into our energy-economy-environmental integrated (3E-integrated) system model, in order to estimate the effect of China's contribution of unilateral emissions on global warming and to weigh the macro-mitigation cost against the risk of damage, and we also explore the role of adaptation in reducing climate change risk. Our results suggest that China's unilateral emission-control action plays a relatively limited role in mitigating global warming and is not particularly cost-effective, given that the macro-reduction cost is much larger than the benefit in the corresponding climate damage mitigation. Adaptation plays a large role in curbing China's climate damages and improving the economics of China's unilateral emission-control actions, and it is little affected by the introduction and option mitigation strategies. To prevent global warming from exceeding critical thresholds, more international collaborations and cooperative efforts are therefore anxiously needed; as for China, bolstering a low-carbon economy and installing an effective mechanism for improving the adaptation level are two feasible options for controlling climate damage risks, given the great uncertainty on the present situation of international cooperation mitigation.
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China[71503242] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71402175] ; Ministry of Education, Humanities and Social Sciences Youth Fund Project[14YJC630029]
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000424030100004
出版者SPRINGER
源URL[http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/29506]  
专题系统科学研究所
通讯作者Zhang, Gupeng
作者单位1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Publ Policy & Management, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
4.Beihang Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100191, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Duan, Hongbo,Zhang, Gupeng,Wang, Shouyang,et al. Balancing China's climate damage risk against emission control costs[J]. MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE,2018,23(3):387-403.
APA Duan, Hongbo,Zhang, Gupeng,Wang, Shouyang,&Fan, Ying.(2018).Balancing China's climate damage risk against emission control costs.MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE,23(3),387-403.
MLA Duan, Hongbo,et al."Balancing China's climate damage risk against emission control costs".MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE 23.3(2018):387-403.

入库方式： OAI收割

来源：数学与系统科学研究院

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