Potential land use adjustment for future climate change adaptation in revegetated regions
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Li, Z (reprint author), Northwest A&F Univ, Coll Nat Resources & Environm, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, Peoples R China.; Shouzhang Peng2; Zhi Li1 |
刊名 | SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT |
出版日期 | 2018 |
卷号 | 639页码:476-484 |
ISSN号 | 0048-9697 |
关键词 | Climate Change Land Use Adjustment Lpj-guess Potential Natural Vegetation Revegetated Regions |
DOI | 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.05.194 |
文献子类 | Article |
英文摘要 | To adapt to future climate change, appropriate land use patterns are desired. Potential natural vegetation (PNV) emphasizing the dominant role of climate can provide a useful baseline to guide the potential land use adjustment. This work is particularly important for the revegetated regions with intensive human perturbation. However, it has received little attention. This study chose China's Loess Plateau, a typical revegetated region, as an example study area to generate the PNV patterns with high spatial resolution over 2071-2100 with a process-based dynamic vegetation model (LPJ-GUESS), and further investigated the potential land use adjustment through comparing the simulated and observed land use patterns. Compared with 1981-2010, the projected PNV over 2071-2100 would have less forest and more steppe because of drier climate. Subsequently, 25.3-55.0% of the observed forests and 79.3-91.9% of the observed grasslands in 2010 can be kept over 2071-2100, and the rest of the existing forested area and grassland were expected to be more suitable for steppes and forests, respectively. To meet the request of China's Grain for Green Project, 60.9-84.8% of the existing steep farmland could be converted to grassland and the other for forest. Our results highlight the importance in adjusting the existing vegetation pattern to adapt to climate change. The research approach is extendable and provides a framework to evaluate the sustainability of the existing land use pattern under future climate. (c) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. |
学科主题 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
出版地 | PO BOX 211, 1000 AE AMSTERDAM, NETHERLANDS |
语种 | 英语 |
出版者 | ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000436806200046 |
资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China [41601058, 41761144060] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China [41601058, 41761144060] ; CAS Light of West China Program [XAB2015B07] ; CAS Light of West China Program [XAB2015B07] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China [41601058, 41761144060] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China [41601058, 41761144060] ; CAS Light of West China Program [XAB2015B07] ; CAS Light of West China Program [XAB2015B07] |
源URL | [http://ir.iswc.ac.cn/handle/361005/8181] |
专题 | 水保所科研产出--SCI_2018--SCI |
通讯作者 | Li, Z (reprint author), Northwest A&F Univ, Coll Nat Resources & Environm, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, Peoples R China. |
作者单位 | 1.Northwest A&F Univ, Coll Nat Resources & Environm, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, Peoples R China 2.Northwest A&F Univ, State Key Lab Soil Eros & Dryland Farming Loess P, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Li, Z ,Shouzhang Peng,Zhi Li. Potential land use adjustment for future climate change adaptation in revegetated regions[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2018,639:476-484. |
APA | Li, Z ,Shouzhang Peng,&Zhi Li.(2018).Potential land use adjustment for future climate change adaptation in revegetated regions.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,639,476-484. |
MLA | Li, Z ,et al."Potential land use adjustment for future climate change adaptation in revegetated regions".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 639(2018):476-484. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:水土保持研究所
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