The Causal Relationship between Urbanization, Economic Growth and Water Use Change in Provincial China
文献类型：SCI/SSCI论文
| 作者 | Bao C.; He, D. M. |
| 发表日期 | 2015 |
| 关键词 | urbanization economic growth water resources utilization cointegration test VECM Granger causality test resources constraint force hexi corridor nw china policy cointegration management |
| 英文摘要 | The relationship between urbanization, economic growth, and water use change is one of the key issues for China's sustainable development, as rapid urbanization and continuous economic growth are accompanied by a steady water stress. Thus, we applied a cointegration test and a VECM (vector error correction model) Granger causality test to investigate the causal relationship between the urbanization level, the economic development level, and the total water use in China and its 31 provincial administrative regions during 1997-2013. Results show that the three indicators have a long-run equilibrium relationship in most provincial administrative regions in China. However, the short-run effects and Granger causal relationship are insignificant for China and most provincial administrative regions. Therefore, that an idea such as urbanization as the engine or major driving force of economic growth, and that China's urbanization and economic growth will bring a water crisis and will be strongly constrained by water resources, might be properly weakened. Targeted and relatively separate policies should be emphasized more for the coordinated development of China's urbanization, economy, and water resources. |
| 出处 | Sustainability |
| 卷 | 7 |
| 期 | 12 |
| 页 | 16076-16085 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| ISSN号 | 2071-1050 |
| DOI标识 | 10.3390/su71215803 |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/43508]  |
| 专题 | 地理科学与资源研究所_历年回溯文献 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Bao C.,He, D. M.. The Causal Relationship between Urbanization, Economic Growth and Water Use Change in Provincial China. 2015. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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