Climate Change Impact on the Hydrology of a Typical Watershed in the Tianshan Mountains
文献类型：SCI/SSCI论文
| 作者 | Fang G. H.; Yang, J.; Chen, Y. N.; Zhang, S. H.; Deng, H. J.; Liu, H. M.; De Maeyer, P. |
| 发表日期 | 2015 |
| 关键词 | headwater catchment northwest china central-asia arid region river-basin tien-shan model future runoff uncertainty |
| 英文摘要 | To study the impact of future climatic changes on hydrology in the Kaidu River Basin in the Tianshan Mountains, two sets of future climatic data were used to force a well-calibrated hydrologic model: one is bias-corrected regional climate model (RCM) outputs for RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 future emission scenarios, and the other is simple climate change (SCC) with absolute temperature change of -1 similar to 6 degrees C and relative precipitation change of -20%similar to 60%. Results show the following: (1) temperature is likely to increase by 2.2 degrees C and 4.6 degrees C by the end of the 21st century under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively, while precipitation will increase by 2%similar to 24%, with a significant rise in the dry season and small change in the wet season; (2) flow will change by -1%similar to 20%, while evapotranspiration will increase by 2%similar to 24%; (3) flow increases almost linearly with precipitation, while its response to temperature depends on the magnitude of temperature change and flow decrease is significant when temperature increase is greater than 2 degrees C; (4) similar results were obtained for simulations with RCM outputs and with SCC for mild climate change conditions, while results were significantly different for intense climate change conditions. |
| 出处 | Advances in Meteorology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| ISSN号 | 1687-9309 |
| DOI标识 | 10.1155/2015/960471 |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/43521]  |
| 专题 | 地理科学与资源研究所_历年回溯文献 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Fang G. H.,Yang, J.,Chen, Y. N.,et al. Climate Change Impact on the Hydrology of a Typical Watershed in the Tianshan Mountains. 2015. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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