Analogue correction method of errors and its application to numerical weather prediction
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Gao, L; Ren, HL; Li, JP; Chou, JF |
刊名 | Chinese physics
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出版日期 | 2006-04-01 |
卷号 | 15期号:4页码:882-889 |
关键词 | Numerical weather prediction Analogue correction method of errors Reference state Analogue-dynamical model |
ISSN号 | 1009-1963 |
通讯作者 | Gao, l(renhl@cma.gov.cn) |
英文摘要 | In this paper, an analogue correction method of errors (ace) based on a complicated atmospheric model is further developed and applied to numerical weather prediction (nwp). the analysis shows that the ace can effectively reduce model errors by combining the statistical analogue method with the dynamical model together in order that the information of plenty of historical data is utilized in the current complicated nwp model. furthermore, in the ace, the differences of the similarities between different historical analogues and the current initial state are considered as the weights for estimating model errors. the results of daily, decad and monthly prediction experiments on a complicated t63 atmospheric model show that the performance of the ace by correcting model errors based on the estimation of the errors of 4 historical analogue predictions is not only better than that of the scheme of only introducing the correction of the errors of every single analogue prediction, but is also better than that of the t63 model. |
WOS关键词 | ATMOSPHERIC PREDICTABILITY ; CIRCULATION ANALOGS ; DIFFERENCE SCHEME ; MODEL |
WOS研究方向 | Physics |
WOS类目 | Physics, Multidisciplinary |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000236720900038 |
出版者 | CHINESE PHYSICAL SOC |
URI标识 | http://www.irgrid.ac.cn/handle/1471x/2379337 |
专题 | 中国科学院大学 |
通讯作者 | Gao, L |
作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Numer Modelling Atmospher Sci & Geo, Inst Atmospher Phys, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Grad Sch, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China 3.Lanzhou Univ, Coll Atmospher Sci, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China 4.China Meteorol Adm, Natl Climate Ctr, Lab Climate Studies, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Gao, L,Ren, HL,Li, JP,et al. Analogue correction method of errors and its application to numerical weather prediction[J]. Chinese physics,2006,15(4):882-889. |
APA | Gao, L,Ren, HL,Li, JP,&Chou, JF.(2006).Analogue correction method of errors and its application to numerical weather prediction.Chinese physics,15(4),882-889. |
MLA | Gao, L,et al."Analogue correction method of errors and its application to numerical weather prediction".Chinese physics 15.4(2006):882-889. |
入库方式: iSwitch采集
来源:中国科学院大学
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