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Tsunami hazards along chinese coast from potential earthquakes in south china sea

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Liu, Yingchun; SantoS, Angela; Wang, Shuo M.; Shi, Yaolin; Liu, Hailing; Yuen, David A.
刊名Physics of the earth and planetary interiors
出版日期2007-08-15
卷号163期号:1-4页码:233-244
关键词Tsunami hazard Numerical simulation Earthquake probability Shallow-water equation South china sea
ISSN号0031-9201
DOI10.1016/j.pepi.2007.02.012
通讯作者Liu, yingchun(liuyingch@mails.gucas.ac.cn)
英文摘要The pair of earthquakes off taiwan on december 26, 2006 and the subsequent disruption of the internet traffic have called attention to the potential destructive hazards along the chinese coast from tsunamis. historical records show past tsunami earthquakes in this region. using gps. earthquake focal mechanisms and geological evolution, we have delineated the dangerous zones in the philippine sea plate where major earthquakes may occur. the manila trench is identified as being most susceptible to future major earthquakes. we have obtained the local gutenberg-richter relationship for five sections along the philippine sea plate boundary and use this information for determining the probability distribution for tsunami waves of various heights to impinge on various chinese cities. we devise a new method called the probabilistic forecast of tsunami hazard (pfth), which determines this probability distribution by direct numerical simulation of the waves excited by hypothetical earthquakes in these zones. we have employed the linear shallow-water equations over the south china sea. we have also compared them with results from the nonlinear version and found that the linear treatment serves our purpose sufficiently well. in the next century the probability of a wave with a height of over 2.0 m to hit near-coast ocean of hong kong and macau is about 10%. cities in taiwan are less vulnerable than those on the mainland coast. (c) 2007 elsevier b.v. all rights reserved.
WOS关键词PLATE ; ASIA ; GEODYSSEA
WOS研究方向Geochemistry & Geophysics
WOS类目Geochemistry & Geophysics
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000249483200015
出版者ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
URI标识http://www.irgrid.ac.cn/handle/1471x/2380068
专题中国科学院大学
通讯作者Liu, Yingchun
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, S China Sea Inst Oceanol, Guangzhou, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Grad Univ, Beijing, Peoples R China
3.Univ Minnesota, Minnesota Supercomp Inst, Dept Geol & Geophys, Minneapolis, MN 55455 USA
4.Tohoku Univ, Sch Engn, Disaster Control Res Ctr, Tsunami Engn Lab, Sendai, Miyagi 980, Japan
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Liu, Yingchun,SantoS, Angela,Wang, Shuo M.,et al. Tsunami hazards along chinese coast from potential earthquakes in south china sea[J]. Physics of the earth and planetary interiors,2007,163(1-4):233-244.
APA Liu, Yingchun,SantoS, Angela,Wang, Shuo M.,Shi, Yaolin,Liu, Hailing,&Yuen, David A..(2007).Tsunami hazards along chinese coast from potential earthquakes in south china sea.Physics of the earth and planetary interiors,163(1-4),233-244.
MLA Liu, Yingchun,et al."Tsunami hazards along chinese coast from potential earthquakes in south china sea".Physics of the earth and planetary interiors 163.1-4(2007):233-244.

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