中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Real-time rapid prediction of variations of earth's rotational rate

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Wang QiJie1,2,3; Liao DeChun1; Zhou YongHong1
刊名Chinese science bulletin
出版日期2008-04-01
卷号53期号:7页码:969-973
关键词Real-time prediction Variation of earth's rotational rate Atmospheric angular momentum Artificial neural networks
ISSN号1001-6538
DOI10.1007/s11434-008-0047-5
通讯作者Zhou yonghong(yhzhou@shao.ac.cn)
英文摘要Real-time rapid prediction of variations of the earth's rotational rate is of great scientific and practical importance. however, due to the complicated time-variable characteristics of variations of the earth's rotational rate (i.e., length of day, lod), it is usually difficult to obtain satisfactory predictions by conventional linear time series analysis methods. this study employs the nonlinear artificial neural networks (ann) to predict the lod variations. the topology of the ann model is determined by minimizing the root mean square errors (rmse) of the predictions. considering the close relationships between the lod variations and the atmospheric circulation movement, the operational prediction series of axial atmospheric angular momentum (aam) is incorporated into the ann model as an additional input in the real-time rapid prediction of lod variations with 1-5 days ahead. the results show that the lod prediction is significantly improved after introducing the operational prediction series of aam into the ann model.
WOS关键词PARAMETERS ; LENGTH
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics
WOS类目Multidisciplinary Sciences
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000254997800002
出版者SCIENCE PRESS
URI标识http://www.irgrid.ac.cn/handle/1471x/2384547
专题中国科学院大学
通讯作者Zhou YongHong
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Shanghai Astron Observ, Shanghai 200030, Peoples R China
2.Grad Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100039, Peoples R China
3.Cent S Univ, Sch Info Phys & Geomat Engn, Changsha 410083, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Wang QiJie,Liao DeChun,Zhou YongHong. Real-time rapid prediction of variations of earth's rotational rate[J]. Chinese science bulletin,2008,53(7):969-973.
APA Wang QiJie,Liao DeChun,&Zhou YongHong.(2008).Real-time rapid prediction of variations of earth's rotational rate.Chinese science bulletin,53(7),969-973.
MLA Wang QiJie,et al."Real-time rapid prediction of variations of earth's rotational rate".Chinese science bulletin 53.7(2008):969-973.

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来源:中国科学院大学

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