Modeling technology adoptions for sustainable development under increasing returns, uncertainty, and heterogeneous agents
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Ma, T.1,2,3,4; Grubler, A.1,5; Nakamori, Y.2 |
刊名 | European journal of operational research
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出版日期 | 2009-05-16 |
卷号 | 195期号:1页码:296-306 |
关键词 | Or in strategic planning Uncertainty Heterogeneous agents |
ISSN号 | 0377-2217 |
DOI | 10.1016/j.ejor.2008.01.036 |
通讯作者 | Ma, t.(tieju@jaist.ac.jp) |
英文摘要 | This paper presents a stylized model of technology adoptions for sustainable development under the three potentially most important "stylized facts": increasing returns to adoption, uncertainty, and heterogeneous agents following diverse technology development and adoption strategies. the stylized model deals with three technologies and two heterogeneous agents: a risk-taking one and a risk-averse one. interactions between the two agents include trade in resources and goods, and technological spillover (free riding and technology trade). with the two heterogeneous agents, we run optimizations to minimize their aggregated costs in order to find out what rational behaviors are under different assumptions if the two agents are somehow cooperative. by considering uncertain carbon taxes, the model also addresses environmental issues as potential driving forces for technology adoptions. (c) 2008 elsevier b.v. all rights reserved. |
WOS关键词 | ENERGY |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Operations Research & Management Science |
WOS类目 | Management ; Operations Research & Management Science |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000261825100023 |
出版者 | ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV |
URI标识 | http://www.irgrid.ac.cn/handle/1471x/2405369 |
专题 | 中国科学院大学 |
通讯作者 | Ma, T. |
作者单位 | 1.Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, Transit New Technol Program, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria 2.Japan Adv Inst Sci & Technol, Sch Knowledge Sci, Nomi, Ishikawa 9231292, Japan 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Res Ctr Fictitious Econ & Data Sci, Beijing 100080, Peoples R China 4.E China Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Business, Shanghai 2000237, Peoples R China 5.Yale Univ, Sch Forestry & Environm Studies, New Haven, CT 06511 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ma, T.,Grubler, A.,Nakamori, Y.. Modeling technology adoptions for sustainable development under increasing returns, uncertainty, and heterogeneous agents[J]. European journal of operational research,2009,195(1):296-306. |
APA | Ma, T.,Grubler, A.,&Nakamori, Y..(2009).Modeling technology adoptions for sustainable development under increasing returns, uncertainty, and heterogeneous agents.European journal of operational research,195(1),296-306. |
MLA | Ma, T.,et al."Modeling technology adoptions for sustainable development under increasing returns, uncertainty, and heterogeneous agents".European journal of operational research 195.1(2009):296-306. |
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来源:中国科学院大学
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