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Sensitivity of the drp-4dvar performance to perturbation samples obtained by two different methods

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Zhao Juan1,2; Wang Bin1
刊名Acta meteorologica sinica
出版日期2010-10-01
卷号24期号:5页码:527-538
关键词Perturbation sample historical forecast 3dvar
ISSN号0894-0525
通讯作者Wang bin()
英文摘要The dimension reduced projection foul dimensional variation data assimilation (drp-4dvar) approach utilizes the ensemble of lust cm teal forecasts to estimate the background error covariance (beg) and directly obtains the analysis in the ensemble space as a result, the quality of ensemble members significantly affects the drp 4dvar performance the historical-forecast based initial perturbation samples are flow dependent and can describe the error-growth pattern of the atmospheric model and the balanced relationship between different model variables however, the ensemble sine id is not, big enough because of the slant time interval ii between adjacent historical samples and the limited ensemble size in this study the bec of the weather research and forecasting model (wrf) three dimensional variational data assimilation (3dvar) system is employed to produce initial perturbation samples for the drp 4dvar the control variable perturbation method based on the structure characteristics of the 3dvar bec produces initial perturbation samples that time reasonable background error correlations moreover, the estimated bec also has good dynamic and physical consistency between variables after the initial perturbation samples undergo v development with a 6 or 12 h model forward integration in tennis of computational expense, the historical forecast results can be obtained without any additional computational cost at the operational numerical weather forecast centers while the integration of samples from the 3dvar based control variable perturbation method is time-consuming, but this difficulty can be alleviated through parallel computing although the assimilation run with the historical forecast-based ensemble generates slightly better initial analysis field, the forecasts from the assimilation experiment using the 3dvar method performs better during the period from 12 to 30 h moreover precipitation is simulated significantly better when the new ensemble is used in conclusion, the performance of the drp-4dvar approach can be improved especially in predicting heavy runs when the initial perturbation samples are derived from the bec of the wrt 3dvar system
WOS关键词DATA ASSIMILATION SYSTEM ; ENSEMBLE KALMAN FILTER ; IMPLEMENTATION ; MODEL ; MM5
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000285072000001
出版者SPRINGER HEIDELBERG
URI标识http://www.irgrid.ac.cn/handle/1471x/2412176
专题中国科学院大学
通讯作者Wang Bin
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, LASC, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Grad Sch, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Zhao Juan,Wang Bin. Sensitivity of the drp-4dvar performance to perturbation samples obtained by two different methods[J]. Acta meteorologica sinica,2010,24(5):527-538.
APA Zhao Juan,&Wang Bin.(2010).Sensitivity of the drp-4dvar performance to perturbation samples obtained by two different methods.Acta meteorologica sinica,24(5),527-538.
MLA Zhao Juan,et al."Sensitivity of the drp-4dvar performance to perturbation samples obtained by two different methods".Acta meteorologica sinica 24.5(2010):527-538.

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来源:中国科学院大学

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