Modeling the Land Use Change in an Arid Oasis Constrained by Water Resources and Environmental Policy Change Using Cellular Automata Models
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Li, X (Li, Xin)1,3,4; Lu, L (Lu, Ling)2; Hu, XL (Hu, Xiaoli)2 |
刊名 | SUSTAINABILITY
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出版日期 | 2018-08-01 |
卷号 | 10期号:8页码:2878 |
关键词 | Scenario Simulation Cover Change River-basin China Gis Integration Calibration System |
ISSN号 | 2071-1050 |
DOI | 10.3390/su10082878 |
英文摘要 | Land use and land cover change (LUCC) is an important issue in global environmental change and sustainable development, yet spatial simulation of LUCC remains challenging due to the land use system complexity. The cellular automata (CA) model plays a crucial role in simulating LUCC processes due to its powerful spatial computing power; however, the majority of current LUCC CA models are binary-state models that cannot provide more general information about the overall spatial pattern of LUCC. Moreover, the current LUCC CA models rarely consider background artificial irrigation in arid regions. Here, a multiple logistic-regression-based Markov cellular automata (MLRMCA) model and a multiple artificial-neural-network-based Markov cellular automata (MANNMCA) model were developed and applied to simulate complex land use evolutionary processes in an arid region oasis (Zhangye Oasis), constrained by water resources and environmental policy change, during the period 2000-2011. Results indicated that the MANNMCA model was superior to the MLRMCA model in simulated accuracy. Furthermore, combining the artificial neural network with CA more effectively captured the complex relationships between LUCC and a set of spatial driving variables. Although the MLRMCA model also showed some advantages, the MANNMCA model was more appropriate for simulating complex land use dynamics. The two integrated models were reliable, and could reflect the spatial evolution of regional LUCC. These models also have potential implications for land use planning and sustainable development in arid regions. |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000446767700294 |
出版者 | MDPI |
源URL | [http://ir.itpcas.ac.cn/handle/131C11/8574] ![]() |
专题 | 青藏高原研究所_图书馆 |
通讯作者 | Li, X (Li, Xin) |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China. 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Cold & Arid Reg Environm & Engn Res Inst, Key Lab Remote Sensing Gansu Prov, 320 West Donggang Rd, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, Peoples R China; 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Tibetan Plateau Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China; 4.CAS Ctr Excellence Tibetan Plateau Earth Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China; |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Li, X ,Lu, L ,Hu, XL . Modeling the Land Use Change in an Arid Oasis Constrained by Water Resources and Environmental Policy Change Using Cellular Automata Models[J]. SUSTAINABILITY,2018,10(8):2878. |
APA | Li, X ,Lu, L ,&Hu, XL .(2018).Modeling the Land Use Change in an Arid Oasis Constrained by Water Resources and Environmental Policy Change Using Cellular Automata Models.SUSTAINABILITY,10(8),2878. |
MLA | Li, X ,et al."Modeling the Land Use Change in an Arid Oasis Constrained by Water Resources and Environmental Policy Change Using Cellular Automata Models".SUSTAINABILITY 10.8(2018):2878. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:青藏高原研究所
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