中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Modeling the Land Use Change in an Arid Oasis Constrained by Water Resources and Environmental Policy Change Using Cellular Automata Models

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Li, X (Li, Xin)1,3,4; Lu, L (Lu, Ling)2; Hu, XL (Hu, Xiaoli)2
刊名SUSTAINABILITY
出版日期2018-08-01
卷号10期号:8页码:2878
关键词Scenario Simulation Cover Change River-basin China Gis Integration Calibration System
ISSN号2071-1050
DOI10.3390/su10082878
英文摘要

Land use and land cover change (LUCC) is an important issue in global environmental change and sustainable development, yet spatial simulation of LUCC remains challenging due to the land use system complexity. The cellular automata (CA) model plays a crucial role in simulating LUCC processes due to its powerful spatial computing power; however, the majority of current LUCC CA models are binary-state models that cannot provide more general information about the overall spatial pattern of LUCC. Moreover, the current LUCC CA models rarely consider background artificial irrigation in arid regions. Here, a multiple logistic-regression-based Markov cellular automata (MLRMCA) model and a multiple artificial-neural-network-based Markov cellular automata (MANNMCA) model were developed and applied to simulate complex land use evolutionary processes in an arid region oasis (Zhangye Oasis), constrained by water resources and environmental policy change, during the period 2000-2011. Results indicated that the MANNMCA model was superior to the MLRMCA model in simulated accuracy. Furthermore, combining the artificial neural network with CA more effectively captured the complex relationships between LUCC and a set of spatial driving variables. Although the MLRMCA model also showed some advantages, the MANNMCA model was more appropriate for simulating complex land use dynamics. The two integrated models were reliable, and could reflect the spatial evolution of regional LUCC. These models also have potential implications for land use planning and sustainable development in arid regions.

WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000446767700294
出版者MDPI
源URL[http://ir.itpcas.ac.cn/handle/131C11/8574]  
专题青藏高原研究所_图书馆
通讯作者Li, X (Li, Xin)
作者单位1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China.
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Cold & Arid Reg Environm & Engn Res Inst, Key Lab Remote Sensing Gansu Prov, 320 West Donggang Rd, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, Peoples R China;
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Tibetan Plateau Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China;
4.CAS Ctr Excellence Tibetan Plateau Earth Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China;
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Li, X ,Lu, L ,Hu, XL . Modeling the Land Use Change in an Arid Oasis Constrained by Water Resources and Environmental Policy Change Using Cellular Automata Models[J]. SUSTAINABILITY,2018,10(8):2878.
APA Li, X ,Lu, L ,&Hu, XL .(2018).Modeling the Land Use Change in an Arid Oasis Constrained by Water Resources and Environmental Policy Change Using Cellular Automata Models.SUSTAINABILITY,10(8),2878.
MLA Li, X ,et al."Modeling the Land Use Change in an Arid Oasis Constrained by Water Resources and Environmental Policy Change Using Cellular Automata Models".SUSTAINABILITY 10.8(2018):2878.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:青藏高原研究所

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