Analysis on urban densification dynamics and future modes in southeastern Wisconsin, USA
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Wang, Lingzhi1,2,3; Omrani, Hichem4; Zhao, Zhao5; Francomano, Dante3; Li, Ke6; Pijanowski, Bryan3 |
刊名 | PLOS ONE
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出版日期 | 2019-03-06 |
卷号 | 14期号:3页码:22 |
ISSN号 | 1932-6203 |
DOI | 10.1371/journal.pone.0211964 |
通讯作者 | Wang, Lingzhi(wanglingz@jlu.edu.cn) |
英文摘要 | Urban change (urbanization) has dominated land change science for several decades. However, few studies have focused on what many scholars call the urban densification process (i.e., urban intensity expansion) despite its importance to both planning and subsequent impacts to the environment and local economies. This paper documents past urban densification patterns and uses this information to predict future densification trends in southeastern Wisconsin (SEWI) by using a rich dataset from the United States and by adapting the well-known Land Transformation Model (LTM) for this purpose. Urban densification is a significant and progressive process that often accompanies urbanization more generally. The increasing proportion of lower density areas, rather than higher density areas, was the main characteristic of the urban densification in SEWI from 2001 to 2011. We believe that improving urban land use efficiency to maintain rational densification are effective means toward a sustainable urban landscape. Multiple goodness-of-fit metrics demonstrated that the reconfigured LTM performed relatively well to simulate urban densification patterns in 2006 and 2011, enabling us to forecast densification to 2016 and 2021. The predicted future urban densification patterns are likely to be characterized by higher densities continue to increase at the expense of lower densities. We argue that detailed categories of urban density and specific relevant predictor variables are indispensable for densification prediction. Our study provides researchers working in land change science with important insights into urban densification process modeling. The outcome of this model can help planners to identify the current trajectory of urban development, enabling them to take informed action to promote planning objectives, which could benefit sustainable urbanization definitely. |
WOS关键词 | LAND-USE CHANGE ; COVER DATABASE ; IMPERVIOUS SURFACE ; ENVIRONMENTAL-IMPACT ; CELLULAR-AUTOMATA ; URBANIZATION ; VALIDATION ; GROWTH ; SIMULATION ; LANDSCAPE |
资助项目 | Jilin Province Science and Technology Development Plan Project[20180418111FG] ; Jilin Provincial Department of Education 13th Five-Year Science and Technology Project[JJKH20180163KJ] ; Major Science and Technology Program for Water Pollution Control and Treatment[2012ZX07408001] ; Jilin Science Foundation for Excellent Young Scholars[20180520169JH] ; National Research Fund Luxembourg (FNR-Luxembourg) ; LISER research institute-Luxembourg |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000460372100017 |
出版者 | PUBLIC LIBRARY SCIENCE |
资助机构 | Jilin Province Science and Technology Development Plan Project ; Jilin Provincial Department of Education 13th Five-Year Science and Technology Project ; Major Science and Technology Program for Water Pollution Control and Treatment ; Jilin Science Foundation for Excellent Young Scholars ; National Research Fund Luxembourg (FNR-Luxembourg) ; LISER research institute-Luxembourg |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/49313] ![]() |
专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
通讯作者 | Wang, Lingzhi |
作者单位 | 1.Jilin Univ, Coll Earth Sci, Changchun, Jilin, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.Purdue Univ, Dept Forestry & Nat Resources, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA 4.LISER, Urban Dev & Mobil Dept, Esch Sur Alzette, Luxembourg 5.Nanjing Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Elect & Opt Engn, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Peoples R China 6.Jilin Jianzhu Univ, Key Lab Songliao Aquat Environm, Minist Educ, Changchun, Jilin, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wang, Lingzhi,Omrani, Hichem,Zhao, Zhao,et al. Analysis on urban densification dynamics and future modes in southeastern Wisconsin, USA[J]. PLOS ONE,2019,14(3):22. |
APA | Wang, Lingzhi,Omrani, Hichem,Zhao, Zhao,Francomano, Dante,Li, Ke,&Pijanowski, Bryan.(2019).Analysis on urban densification dynamics and future modes in southeastern Wisconsin, USA.PLOS ONE,14(3),22. |
MLA | Wang, Lingzhi,et al."Analysis on urban densification dynamics and future modes in southeastern Wisconsin, USA".PLOS ONE 14.3(2019):22. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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