Space-time heterogeneity of hand, foot and mouth disease in children and its potential driving factors in Henan, China
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Zhang, Xiangxue1,2; Xu, Chengdong2; Xiao, Gexin3 |
| 刊名 | BMC INFECTIOUS DISEASES
 |
| 出版日期 | 2018-12-07 |
| 卷号 | 18页码:9 |
| 关键词 | Hand Foot and mouth disease Meteorological factors Socio-economic factors Spatiotemporal risk Bayesian space-time hierarchy model |
| ISSN号 | 1471-2334 |
| DOI | 10.1186/s12879-018-3546-2 |
| 通讯作者 | Xu, Chengdong(xucd@lreis.ac.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | BackgroundHand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) has become a substantial threat recently. However few studies have quantified spatiotemporal heterogeneity of HFMD and detected spatiotemporal interactive effect of potential driving factors on this disease.MethodsUsing GeoDetector and Bayesian space-time hierarchy model, we characterized the epidemiology of HFMD in Henan, one of the largest population provinces in China, from 2012 to 2013, and quantified the impacts of potential driving factors.ResultsNotably, 21.43 and 24.60% counties were identified as hot and cold spots, respectively. Spatially, the hotspots were mainly clustered in regions where the economic level was high. Temporally, the highest incidence period of HFMD was discovered to be in late spring and early summer. The impact of meteorological and socio-economic factors on the disease are significant, and this study found that a 1 degrees C rise in temperature was related to an increase of 4.09% in the HFMD incidence, a 1% increment in relative humidity was associated with a 1.77% increase of the disease, and a 1% increment in ratio of urban to rural population was associated with a 0.16% increase of the disease.ConclusionMeteorological and socio-economic factors presented significantly association with HFMD incidence, high-risk mainly appeared in large cities and their adjacent regions in hot and humid season. These findings will be helpful for HFMD risk control and disease-prevention policies implementation. |
| WOS关键词 | CHILDHOOD HAND ; MAINLAND CHINA ; ENTEROVIRUS 71 ; RISK ; TEMPERATURE ; EPIDEMIOLOGY ; ASSOCIATION ; MORTALITY ; VARIABLES ; PROVINCE |
| 资助项目 | National Science Foundation of China[41601419] ; National Science Foundation of China[41531179] ; Innovation Project of LREIS[O88RA205YA] ; Innovation Project of LREIS[O88RA200YA] ; Special Scientific Research Fund of Public Welfare Profession of China[GYHY20140616] |
| WOS研究方向 | Infectious Diseases |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000452736200004 |
| 出版者 | BMC |
| 资助机构 | National Science Foundation of China ; Innovation Project of LREIS ; Special Scientific Research Fund of Public Welfare Profession of China |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/51458]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Xu, Chengdong |
| 作者单位 | 1.Changan Univ, Sch Earth Sci & Resources, Xian 710054, Shaanxi, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, 11A Datun Rd, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 3.China Natl Ctr Food Safety Risk Assessment, Beijing 100022, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhang, Xiangxue,Xu, Chengdong,Xiao, Gexin. Space-time heterogeneity of hand, foot and mouth disease in children and its potential driving factors in Henan, China[J]. BMC INFECTIOUS DISEASES,2018,18:9. |
| APA | Zhang, Xiangxue,Xu, Chengdong,&Xiao, Gexin.(2018).Space-time heterogeneity of hand, foot and mouth disease in children and its potential driving factors in Henan, China.BMC INFECTIOUS DISEASES,18,9. |
| MLA | Zhang, Xiangxue,et al."Space-time heterogeneity of hand, foot and mouth disease in children and its potential driving factors in Henan, China".BMC INFECTIOUS DISEASES 18(2018):9. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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