Analysis of generation cost changes during China's energy transition
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Qiang, Wenli1; Niu, Shuwen1,2; Liu, Xiaojie2,3 ; Wang, Xiang1; Jia, Zhuo1,2; Dai, Runqi1
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| 刊名 | ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT
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| 出版日期 | 2018-06-01 |
| 卷号 | 29期号:4页码:456-472 |
| 关键词 | Energy transition clean power power generation cost change trend China |
| ISSN号 | 0958-305X |
| DOI | 10.1177/0958305X17752493 |
| 通讯作者 | Qiang, Wenli(qiang_wenli@qq.com) |
| 英文摘要 | How to cut down power generation cost is an important issue during energy system transformation. This study examines the pathway of China's coal-fired and clean power's unit generation cost changes during 2007-2015 and predicts the change trends of each type of power between 2016 and 2025. The results show that the cost of coal-fired power will increase to 0.50-0.73 Yuan/kWh in 2025 because of the stricter environmental regulations and the establishment of a nationwide carbon emission trading market. Conversely, the cost of clean energy power, with the exception of hydropower, shows a decreasing trend between 2007 and 2025, with the costs of nuclear power, solar power, and wind power declining from 0.40, 4.34, and 0.56 Yuan/kWh to 0.33, 0.31, and 0.49 Yuan/kWh, respectively. However, the cost of hydropower displays an increasing trend from 0.22 to 0.26 Yuan/kWh during 2007-2025 due to increases in construction costs. Considering the external cost increases applying to coal-fired power and the declining trend caused by the learning rates of renewable power, the cost of all the clean energy power will be lower than the costs of coal-fired power before 2025. The cost sharing of coal-fired power is also analyzed in this study. However, there are a number of relevant economic and policy measures that are needed to be taken by the government to fulfill this transformation. |
| WOS关键词 | RENEWABLE ENERGY ; FUTURE PROSPECT ; LEARNING RATES ; FOSSIL-FUEL ; SOLAR POWER ; ELECTRICITY ; SYSTEM ; POLICY ; EMISSION ; NUCLEAR |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000434697400002 |
| 出版者 | SAGE PUBLICATIONS LTD |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/54724]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Qiang, Wenli |
| 作者单位 | 1.Lanzhou Univ, Coll Earth & Environm Sci, 222 Tianshui South Rd, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, Peoples R China 2.Lanzhou Univ, Minist Educ, Key Lab Western Chinas Environm Syst, Lanzhou, Gansu, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, IGSNRR, Beijing, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Qiang, Wenli,Niu, Shuwen,Liu, Xiaojie,et al. Analysis of generation cost changes during China's energy transition[J]. ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT,2018,29(4):456-472. |
| APA | Qiang, Wenli,Niu, Shuwen,Liu, Xiaojie,Wang, Xiang,Jia, Zhuo,&Dai, Runqi.(2018).Analysis of generation cost changes during China's energy transition.ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT,29(4),456-472. |
| MLA | Qiang, Wenli,et al."Analysis of generation cost changes during China's energy transition".ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT 29.4(2018):456-472. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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