Planning for Regional Water System Sustainability Through Water Resources Security Assessment Under Uncertainties
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Chen, Yizhong1,2; He, Li1,2![]() ![]() |
刊名 | WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT
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出版日期 | 2018-07-01 |
卷号 | 32期号:9页码:3135-3153 |
关键词 | Water sources security Credibility Sustainability Pollutant emissions System risk |
ISSN号 | 0920-4741 |
DOI | 10.1007/s11269-018-1981-x |
通讯作者 | He, Li(helix111@tju.edu.cn) |
英文摘要 | A leader-follower relationship in multiple layers of decision makers under uncertainties is a critical challenge associated with water resources security (WRS). To address this problem, a credibility-based chance-constrained hierarchical programming model with WRS assessment is developed for regional water system sustainability planning. This model can deal with the sequential decision-making problem with different goals and preferences, and reflect uncertainties presented as fuzzy sets. The effectiveness of the developed model is demonstrated through a real-world water resources management system in Beijing, China. A leader-follower interactive solution algorithm based on satisfactory degree is utilized to improve computational efficiency. Results show the that: (a) surface water, groundwater, recycled water, and off water would account for 27.01, 27.44, 23.11, and 22.44% of the total water supplies, respectively; (b) the entire pollutant emissions and economic benefits would consequently decrease by 31.53 and 22.88% when the statue changes from quite safe to extremely far from safe; and (c) a high credibility level would correspond to low risks of insufficient water supply and overloaded pollutant emissions, which lowers economic benefits and pollutant emissions. By contrast, a low credibility level would decrease the limitations of constraints, which leads to high economic benefits and pollutant emissions, but system risk would be increased. These findings can aid different decision makers in identifying the desired strategies for regional water resources management under multiple uncertainties, and support the in-depth analysis of the interrelationships among water security, system efficiency, and credibility level. |
WOS关键词 | CONSTRAINED PROGRAMMING APPROACH ; LIFE-CYCLE ASSESSMENT ; DECISION-MAKING ; MANAGEMENT ; OPTIMIZATION ; MODEL ; ENERGY ; CHINA ; ALLOCATION ; LEVEL |
资助项目 | Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA20040302] ; Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities |
WOS研究方向 | Engineering ; Water Resources |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000433501600014 |
出版者 | SPRINGER |
资助机构 | Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/54800] ![]() |
专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
通讯作者 | He, Li |
作者单位 | 1.Tianjin Univ, State Key Lab Hydraul Engn Simulat & Safety, Tianjin 300072, Peoples R China 2.North China Elect Power Univ, Sch Renewable Energy, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 4.Shanxi Inst Energy, Jinzhong 030600, Shanxi, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Chen, Yizhong,He, Li,Lu, Hongwei,et al. Planning for Regional Water System Sustainability Through Water Resources Security Assessment Under Uncertainties[J]. WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT,2018,32(9):3135-3153. |
APA | Chen, Yizhong,He, Li,Lu, Hongwei,Li, Jing,&Ren, Lixia.(2018).Planning for Regional Water System Sustainability Through Water Resources Security Assessment Under Uncertainties.WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT,32(9),3135-3153. |
MLA | Chen, Yizhong,et al."Planning for Regional Water System Sustainability Through Water Resources Security Assessment Under Uncertainties".WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT 32.9(2018):3135-3153. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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