中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Planning for Regional Water System Sustainability Through Water Resources Security Assessment Under Uncertainties

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Chen, Yizhong1,2; He, Li1,2; Lu, Hongwei3; Li, Jing2; Ren, Lixia4
刊名WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT
出版日期2018-07-01
卷号32期号:9页码:3135-3153
关键词Water sources security Credibility Sustainability Pollutant emissions System risk
ISSN号0920-4741
DOI10.1007/s11269-018-1981-x
通讯作者He, Li(helix111@tju.edu.cn)
英文摘要A leader-follower relationship in multiple layers of decision makers under uncertainties is a critical challenge associated with water resources security (WRS). To address this problem, a credibility-based chance-constrained hierarchical programming model with WRS assessment is developed for regional water system sustainability planning. This model can deal with the sequential decision-making problem with different goals and preferences, and reflect uncertainties presented as fuzzy sets. The effectiveness of the developed model is demonstrated through a real-world water resources management system in Beijing, China. A leader-follower interactive solution algorithm based on satisfactory degree is utilized to improve computational efficiency. Results show the that: (a) surface water, groundwater, recycled water, and off water would account for 27.01, 27.44, 23.11, and 22.44% of the total water supplies, respectively; (b) the entire pollutant emissions and economic benefits would consequently decrease by 31.53 and 22.88% when the statue changes from quite safe to extremely far from safe; and (c) a high credibility level would correspond to low risks of insufficient water supply and overloaded pollutant emissions, which lowers economic benefits and pollutant emissions. By contrast, a low credibility level would decrease the limitations of constraints, which leads to high economic benefits and pollutant emissions, but system risk would be increased. These findings can aid different decision makers in identifying the desired strategies for regional water resources management under multiple uncertainties, and support the in-depth analysis of the interrelationships among water security, system efficiency, and credibility level.
WOS关键词CONSTRAINED PROGRAMMING APPROACH ; LIFE-CYCLE ASSESSMENT ; DECISION-MAKING ; MANAGEMENT ; OPTIMIZATION ; MODEL ; ENERGY ; CHINA ; ALLOCATION ; LEVEL
资助项目Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA20040302] ; Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities
WOS研究方向Engineering ; Water Resources
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000433501600014
出版者SPRINGER
资助机构Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/54800]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者He, Li
作者单位1.Tianjin Univ, State Key Lab Hydraul Engn Simulat & Safety, Tianjin 300072, Peoples R China
2.North China Elect Power Univ, Sch Renewable Energy, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
4.Shanxi Inst Energy, Jinzhong 030600, Shanxi, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Chen, Yizhong,He, Li,Lu, Hongwei,et al. Planning for Regional Water System Sustainability Through Water Resources Security Assessment Under Uncertainties[J]. WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT,2018,32(9):3135-3153.
APA Chen, Yizhong,He, Li,Lu, Hongwei,Li, Jing,&Ren, Lixia.(2018).Planning for Regional Water System Sustainability Through Water Resources Security Assessment Under Uncertainties.WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT,32(9),3135-3153.
MLA Chen, Yizhong,et al."Planning for Regional Water System Sustainability Through Water Resources Security Assessment Under Uncertainties".WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT 32.9(2018):3135-3153.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:地理科学与资源研究所

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