East Asian warm season temperature variations over the past two millennia
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Zhang, Huan1; Werner, Johannes P.2,3; Garcia-Bustamante, Elena4; Gonzalez-Rouco, Fidel5; Wagner, Sebastian6; Zorita, Eduardo6; Fraedrich, Klaus7; Jungclaus, Johann H.7; Ljungqvist, Fredrik Charpentier8,9; Zhu, Xiuhua10 |
刊名 | SCIENTIFIC REPORTS |
出版日期 | 2018-05-16 |
卷号 | 8页码:11 |
ISSN号 | 2045-2322 |
DOI | 10.1038/s41598-018-26038-8 |
通讯作者 | Zhang, Huan(huan.zhang@geogr.uni-giessen.de) |
英文摘要 | East Asia has experienced strong warming since the 1960s accompanied by an increased frequency of heat waves and shrinking glaciers over the Tibetan Plateau and the Tien Shan. Here, we place the recent warmth in a long-term perspective by presenting a new spatially resolved warm-season (May-September) temperature reconstruction for the period 1-2000 CE using 59 multiproxy records from a wide range of East Asian regions. Our Bayesian Hierarchical Model (BHM) based reconstructions generally agree with earlier shorter regional temperature reconstructions but are more stable due to additional temperature sensitive proxies. We find a rather warm period during the first two centuries CE, followed by a multi-century long cooling period and again a warm interval covering the 900-1200 CE period (Medieval Climate Anomaly, MCA). The interval from 1450 to 1850 CE (Little Ice Age, LIA) was characterized by cooler conditions and the last 150 years are characterized by a continuous warming until recent times. Our results also suggest that the 1990s were likely the warmest decade in at least 1200 years. The comparison between an ensemble of climate model simulations and our summer reconstructions since 850 CE shows good agreement and an important role of internal variability and external forcing on multi-decadal time-scales. |
WOS关键词 | RECONSTRUCTING CLIMATE ANOMALIES ; TREE-RING WIDTH ; LAST MILLENNIUM ; NORTHERN-HEMISPHERE ; SPATIOTEMPORAL VARIABILITY ; FORCING RECONSTRUCTIONS ; FIELD RECONSTRUCTIONS ; SUMMER TEMPERATURES ; BAYESIAN ALGORITHM ; PMIP SIMULATIONS |
资助项目 | German Science Foundation ; ILModelS[CGL2014-59644-R] ; European Commission |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
语种 | 英语 |
出版者 | NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000432275800001 |
资助机构 | German Science Foundation ; ILModelS ; European Commission |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/54950] |
专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
通讯作者 | Zhang, Huan |
作者单位 | 1.Justus Liebig Univ Giessen, Dept Geog Climatol Climate Dynam & Climate Change, Giessen, Germany 2.Univ Bergen, Dept Earth Sci, Allegt 41, NO-5020 Bergen, Norway 3.Bjerknes Ctr Climate Res, Allegt 41, NO-5020 Bergen, Norway 4.Res Ctr Energy Environm & Technol CIEMAT, Dept Energy Renewable Energy Sect, Madrid, Spain 5.Univ Complutense Madrid, CSIC, IGEO, Dept Phys Earth & Astrophys, Madrid, Spain 6.Helmholtz Zentrum Geesthacht, Inst Coastal Res, D-21502 Geesthacht, Germany 7.Max Planck Inst Meteorol, Bundesstr 53, D-20146 Hamburg, Germany 8.Stockholm Univ, Dept Hist, Stockholm, Sweden 9.Stockholm Univ, Bolin Ctr Climate Res, Stockholm, Sweden 10.Univ Hamburg, CliSAP, Ctr Earth Syst Res & Sustainabil, Hamburg, Germany |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhang, Huan,Werner, Johannes P.,Garcia-Bustamante, Elena,et al. East Asian warm season temperature variations over the past two millennia[J]. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,2018,8:11. |
APA | Zhang, Huan.,Werner, Johannes P..,Garcia-Bustamante, Elena.,Gonzalez-Rouco, Fidel.,Wagner, Sebastian.,...&Luterbacher, Juerg.(2018).East Asian warm season temperature variations over the past two millennia.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,8,11. |
MLA | Zhang, Huan,et al."East Asian warm season temperature variations over the past two millennia".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 8(2018):11. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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