Predicting the wetland distributions under climate warming in the Great Xing'an Mountains, northeastern China
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Liu, Hongjuan2,3; Bu, Rencang2; Liu, Jintong3; Leng, Wenfang4; Hu, Yuanman2; Yang, Libing1; Liu, Huitao3 |
| 刊名 | ECOLOGICAL RESEARCH
 |
| 出版日期 | 2011-05-01 |
| 卷号 | 26期号:3页码:605-613 |
| 关键词 | Wetland Random Forest Potential Distribution Great Xing'an Mountains |
| ISSN号 | 0912-3814 |
| DOI | 10.1007/s11284-011-0819-2 |
| 英文摘要 | The wetland ecosystem is particularly vulnerable to hydrological and climate changes. The Great Xing'an Mountain is such a region in China that has a large area of wetlands with rare human disturbance. The predictions of the global circulation model CGCM3 (the third-generation coupled global climate model from the Canadian Centre for Climate Modeling and Analysis) indicated that the temperature in The Great Xing'an Mountain will rise by 2-4A degrees C over the next 100 years. This paper predicts the potential distributions of wetlands in this area under the current and warming climate conditions. This predication was performed by the Random Forests model, with 18 environmental variables, which will reflect the climate and topography conditions. The model has been proven to have a great prediction ability. The wetland distributions are primarily topography-driven in the Great Xing'an Mountains. Mean annual temperature, warmness index, and potential evapotranspiration ratio are the most important climatic factors in wetland distributions. The model predictions for three future climate scenarios show that the wetland area tends to decrease, and higher emission will also cause more drastic shrinkage of wetland distributions. About 30% of the wetland area will disappear by 2050. The area will decrease 62.47, 76.90, and 85.83%, respectively, under CGCM3-B1, CGCM3-A1B, and CGCM3-A2 by 2100. As for spatial allocation, wetlands may begin to disappear from the sides to the center and south to north under a warming climate. Under CGCM3-B1, the loss of wetlands may mainly occur in the south hills with flatter terrain, and some may occur in the north hills and intermontane plains. Under CGCM3-A1B, severe vanish of wetlands is predicted. Under CGCM3-A2, only a small area of wetlands may remain in the north of the high mountains. |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000290538900015 |
| 出版者 | SPRINGER TOKYO |
| 源URL | [http://210.72.129.5/handle/321005/121883]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院沈阳应用生态研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Hu, Yuanman |
| 作者单位 | 1.Shijiazhuang Univ Econ, Shijiazhuang 050031, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Appl Ecol, Shenyang 110016, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Agr Water Resources, Ctr Agr Resources Res, Inst Genet & Dev Biol, Shijiazhuang 050021, Peoples R China 4.Qinhuangdao Inst Technol, Qinhuangdao 066100, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Liu, Hongjuan,Bu, Rencang,Liu, Jintong,et al. Predicting the wetland distributions under climate warming in the Great Xing'an Mountains, northeastern China[J]. ECOLOGICAL RESEARCH,2011,26(3):605-613. |
| APA | Liu, Hongjuan.,Bu, Rencang.,Liu, Jintong.,Leng, Wenfang.,Hu, Yuanman.,...&Liu, Huitao.(2011).Predicting the wetland distributions under climate warming in the Great Xing'an Mountains, northeastern China.ECOLOGICAL RESEARCH,26(3),605-613. |
| MLA | Liu, Hongjuan,et al."Predicting the wetland distributions under climate warming in the Great Xing'an Mountains, northeastern China".ECOLOGICAL RESEARCH 26.3(2011):605-613. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：沈阳应用生态研究所
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