Unravelling the mystery of Chinese building lifetime: A calibration and verification based on dynamic material flow analysis
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Duan, Huabo4; Xi, Fengming1; Yang, Wei2; Liu, Guiwen5; Cao, Zhi3; Liu, Gang3 |
刊名 | APPLIED ENERGY
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出版日期 | 2019-03-15 |
卷号 | 238页码:442-452 |
关键词 | Building lifetime Building stock China Dynamic material flow analysis Calibration Verification |
ISSN号 | 0306-2619 |
DOI | 10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.106 |
英文摘要 | Building lifetime is a crucial parameter for modelling building stock's turnovers and related dynamics of embodied and operational energy demand. However, it is poorly characterized and often based on assumptions (especially for developing countries such as China), because no or few empirical data are available. Here we combined a top-down dynamic material flow analysis method with bottom-up information (i.e., age profile of residential building stock, per capita residential floor area, and population) to calibrate the lifetimes of Chinese buildings from 1950 to 2015. We contrasted the top-down estimates with existing literature and primary data from on-site surveys to verify the plausibility of calibrated building lifetimes. We found an overall downward trend of building lifetimes during 1950-1989 and a gradual climb-up since 1990s. However, the present Chinese building lifetime appears still far below the design lifetime (50 years). Up to 2015, the floor areas of Chinese building stock has reached an enormous level of 64.7 billion m(2); on the per capita basis, it has reached 30.5 and 15.7 m(2) for residential and non-residential use, respectively. The yearly demolished floor areas have reached at a level of 1.6 billion m(2). The improved building lifetimes can enhance our understanding of building stock's turnovers and vintage-based energy performance and thus help better characterize life cycle energy demand of building stocks and beyond. To further the use of the calibrated building lifetimes, modelers and data users should also be aware of the variable building lifetimes and have a structured overview of data sources and their inconsistency. |
资助项目 | Independent Research Fund Denmark[6111-00555B] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41728002] ; Lighthouse ODEx funding of University of Southern Denmark |
WOS研究方向 | Energy & Fuels ; Engineering |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000461262300035 |
出版者 | ELSEVIER SCI LTD |
源URL | [http://210.72.129.5/handle/321005/123937] ![]() |
专题 | 中国科学院沈阳应用生态研究所 |
通讯作者 | Liu, Gang |
作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Appl Ecol, Shenyang 110016, Liaoning, Peoples R China 2.Tianjin Univ, Sch Architecture, Tianjin 300072, Peoples R China 3.Univ Southern Denmark, Dept Chem Engn Biotechnol & Environm Technol, SDU Life Cycle Engn, DK-5230 Odense, Denmark 4.Shenzhen Univ, Coll Civil Engn, Shenzhen 518068, Peoples R China 5.Chongqing Univ, Sch Construct Management & Real Estate, Chongqing 400085, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Duan, Huabo,Xi, Fengming,Yang, Wei,et al. Unravelling the mystery of Chinese building lifetime: A calibration and verification based on dynamic material flow analysis[J]. APPLIED ENERGY,2019,238:442-452. |
APA | Duan, Huabo,Xi, Fengming,Yang, Wei,Liu, Guiwen,Cao, Zhi,&Liu, Gang.(2019).Unravelling the mystery of Chinese building lifetime: A calibration and verification based on dynamic material flow analysis.APPLIED ENERGY,238,442-452. |
MLA | Duan, Huabo,et al."Unravelling the mystery of Chinese building lifetime: A calibration and verification based on dynamic material flow analysis".APPLIED ENERGY 238(2019):442-452. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:沈阳应用生态研究所
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