Simulating forest ecosystem response to climate warming incorporating spatial effects in north-eastern China
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | He, HS; Hao, ZQ; Mladenoff, DJ; Shao, GF; Hu, YM; Chang, Y; He, HS, Univ Missouri, Sch Nat Resources, 203 ABNR Bldg, Columbia, MO 65211 USA |
| 刊名 | JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY
 |
| 出版日期 | 2005 |
| 卷号 | 32期号:12页码:2043-2056 |
| 关键词 | Climate Warming Fire Forest Response Gap Model Landscape Model Landis North-eastern China Result Validation Seed Dispersal Spatial Configuration |
| ISSN号 | 0305-0270 |
| 英文摘要 | Aim Predictions of ecosystem responses to climate warming are often made using gap models, which are among the most effective tools for assessing the effects of climate change on forest composition and structure. Gap models do not generally account for broad-scale effects such as the spatial configuration of the simulated forest ecosystems, disturbance, and seed dispersal, which extend beyond the simulation plots and are important under changing climates. In this study we incorporate the broad-scale spatial effects (spatial configurations of the simulated forest ecosystems, seed dispersal and fire disturbance) in simulating forest responses to climate warming. We chose the Changbai Natural Reserve in China as our study area. Our aim is to reveal the spatial effects in simulating forest responses to climate warming and make new predictions by incorporating these effects in the Changbai Natural Reserve. Location Changbai Natural Reserve, north-eastern China. Method We used a coupled modelling approach that links a gap model with a spatially explicit landscape model. In our approach, the responses (establishment) of individual species to climate warming are simulated using a gap model (LINKAGES) that has been utilized previously for making predictions in this region; and the spatial effects are simulated using a landscape model (LANDIS) that incorporates spatial configurations of the simulated forest ecosystems, seed dispersal and fire disturbance. We used the recent predictions of the Canadian Global Coupled Model (CGCM2) for the Changbai Mountain area (4.6 degrees C average annual temperature increase and little precipitation change). For the area encompassed by the simulation, we examined four major ecosystems distributed continuously from low to high elevations along the northern slope: hardwood forest, mixed Korean pine hardwood forest, spruce-fir forest, and sub-alpine forest. Results The dominant effects of climate warming were evident on forest ecosystems in the low and high elevation areas, but not in the mid-elevation areas. This suggests that the forest ecosystems near the southern and northern ranges of their distributions will have the strongest response to climate warming. In the mid-elevation areas, environmental controls exerted the dominant influence on the dynamics of these forests (e.g. spruce-fir) and their resilience to climate warming was suggested by the fact that the fluctuations of species trajectories for these forests under the warming scenario paralleled those under the current climate scenario. Main conclusions With the spatial effects incorporated, the disappearance of tree species in this region due to the climate warming would not be expected within the 300-year period covered by the simulation. Neither Korean pine nor spruce-fir was completely replaced by broadleaf species during the simulation period. Even for the sub-alpine forest, mountain birch did not become extinct under the climate warming scenario, although its occurrence was greatly reduced. However, the decreasing trends characterizing Korean pine, spruce, and fir indicate that in simulations beyond 300 years these species could eventually be replaced by broadleaf tree species. A complete forest transition would take much longer than the time periods predicted by the gap models. |
| 学科主题 | Ecology ; Geography, Physical |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000233408500001 |
| 公开日期 | 2011-09-23 |
| 源URL | [http://210.72.129.5/handle/321005/55035]  |
| 专题 | 沈阳应用生态研究所_沈阳应用生态研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | He, HS, Univ Missouri, Sch Nat Resources, 203 ABNR Bldg, Columbia, MO 65211 USA |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | He, HS,Hao, ZQ,Mladenoff, DJ,et al. Simulating forest ecosystem response to climate warming incorporating spatial effects in north-eastern China[J]. JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY,2005,32(12):2043-2056. |
| APA | He, HS.,Hao, ZQ.,Mladenoff, DJ.,Shao, GF.,Hu, YM.,...&He, HS, Univ Missouri, Sch Nat Resources, 203 ABNR Bldg, Columbia, MO 65211 USA.(2005).Simulating forest ecosystem response to climate warming incorporating spatial effects in north-eastern China.JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY,32(12),2043-2056. |
| MLA | He, HS,et al."Simulating forest ecosystem response to climate warming incorporating spatial effects in north-eastern China".JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY 32.12(2005):2043-2056. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：沈阳应用生态研究所
浏览0
下载0
收藏0
其他版本
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。