中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Three-dimensional distribution of permafrost and responses to increasing air temperatures in the head waters of the Yellow River in High Asia

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Sun, Aili1,2; Zhou, Jian3; Yu, Zhongbo1,2; Jin, Huijun3; Sheng, Yu3; Yang, Chuanguo1,2
刊名SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
出版日期2019-05-20
卷号666页码:321-336
ISSN号0048-9697
关键词3D distribution Depth-to-permafrost table Ground temperature Air temperature Permafrost Climate change
DOI10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.02.110
通讯作者Yu, Zhongbo(zyu@hhu.edu.cn)
英文摘要Fine scale three-dimensional (3D) permafrost distributions at the basin scale are currently lacking. They are needed to monitor climatic and ecosystem change and for the maintenance of infrastructure in cold regions. This paper determined the horizontal and vertical distributions of permafrost and its quantitative responses to climate warming in the High Asia region by constructing a quasi-3D model that couples heal transfer and water movement and is forced by spatially-interpolated air temperatures using an elevation-dependent regression method. Four air temperature scenarios were considered: the present stale and air temperature increases of 1, 2 and 3 degrees C A fine-scale permafrost map was constructed. The map considered taliks and local factors including elevation, slope and aspect, and agreed well with field observations. Permafrost will experience severe degradation with climate warming, with decreases in area of 36% per degree increase in air temperature, increases in the depth-to-permafrost table of 2.67 m per degree increase in air temperature, and increases in 15 m-depth ground temperatures of 125 degrees C per degree 'increase in air temperature. Permafrost is more vulnerable in and beside river valleys than in high mountains, and on sunny rather than shady slopes. These results provide an effective reference for permafrost prediction and 'infrastructure and ecosystem management in cold regions affected by global warming. (C) 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
收录类别SCI
WOS关键词HIGH-SPATIAL-RESOLUTION ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; ACTIVE-LAYER ; HYDROLOGICAL MODEL ; FUTURE CHANGES ; SNOW COVER ; REGION ; CHINA ; THAW ; PLATEAU
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目Environmental Sciences
语种英语
出版者ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
WOS记录号WOS:000463180700032
URI标识http://www.irgrid.ac.cn/handle/1471x/2555504
专题寒区旱区环境与工程研究所
通讯作者Yu, Zhongbo
作者单位1.Hohai Univ, State Key Lab Hydrol Water Resources & Hydraul En, Nanjing 210098, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
2.Hohai Univ, Coll Hydrol & Water Resource, Nanjing 210098, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Cold & Arid Reg Environm & Engn Res Inst, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Sun, Aili,Zhou, Jian,Yu, Zhongbo,et al. Three-dimensional distribution of permafrost and responses to increasing air temperatures in the head waters of the Yellow River in High Asia[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2019,666:321-336.
APA Sun, Aili,Zhou, Jian,Yu, Zhongbo,Jin, Huijun,Sheng, Yu,&Yang, Chuanguo.(2019).Three-dimensional distribution of permafrost and responses to increasing air temperatures in the head waters of the Yellow River in High Asia.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,666,321-336.
MLA Sun, Aili,et al."Three-dimensional distribution of permafrost and responses to increasing air temperatures in the head waters of the Yellow River in High Asia".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 666(2019):321-336.

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来源:寒区旱区环境与工程研究所

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