中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Assessing temperature sensitivity of subalpine shrub phenology in semi-arid mountain regions of China

文献类型:期刊论文

作者He, Zhibin; Du, Jun; Zhao, Wenzhi; Yang, Junjun; Chen, Longfei; Zhu, Xi; Chang, Xuexiang; Liu, Hu
刊名AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY
出版日期2015-11-15
卷号213页码:42-52
关键词Phenology Temperature Time series modeling Remote sensing Subalpine shrub
ISSN号0168-1923
DOI10.1016/j.agrformet.2015.06.013
通讯作者He, Zhibin(hzbmail@lzb.ac.cn)
英文摘要Subalpine shrubs are undergoing, or have experienced profound changes by force of recent climate anomalies, such as the alteration in temporal niche of phenophases and the dynamic interaction with ambient conditions. As cold biomes in high-altitude ecoregions, they have drawn a growing concern of the potential vulnerability to current and future climate change. In this study, we retrieved the time series (2000-2013) of satellite-based phenological transitions (the onset and offset of vegetative growth) for subalpine shrubs at five individual sites in the Qilian Mountains in northwestern China. Our goals were to identify the climatic constraints on the timing of leaf-out and leaf-fall, and to project these phenological patterns under the future climate conditions. To achieve these goals, the relationships between these regional phenological events and climate variables were investigated with univariate and multivariate time series models, and the future phenological dynamics were forecasted for two decades based on the best predictive models under the A2 and B2 of IPCCs Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES). Our results generally revealed site-dependent phenology-climate relationships, which involved an immediate phenological response to the mean or minimum temperature in the corresponding month of occurrence, and a lagged cumulative climate effect across preceding months and seasons. Average temperature during a certain period has been demonstrated as an important limiting factor for plant growth. However, our results also provided evidence for the minimum temperature controls of the development of phenological events in subalpine shrublands, possibly due to a close association with the frequency of frost risk in spring and autumn. Under future climate conditions, an overall lengthening of the active growing season is expected at each of the study sites depending on elevation. Consequently, net carbon uptake by shrubs will benefit from the increased temperature. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
收录类别SCI
WOS关键词CLIMATE-CHANGE ; FROST DAMAGE ; VEGETATION PHENOLOGY ; FLOWERING PHENOLOGY ; NORTHWESTERN CHINA ; CANOPY PHENOLOGY ; SPATIAL-PATTERNS ; QILIAN MOUNTAINS ; SPRING GROWTH ; TIME-SERIES
WOS研究方向Agriculture ; Forestry ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS类目Agronomy ; Forestry ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000361255400005
出版者ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
URI标识http://www.irgrid.ac.cn/handle/1471x/2557019
专题寒区旱区环境与工程研究所
通讯作者He, Zhibin
作者单位Chinese Acad Sci, Line Inland River Basin Res Stn, Heihe Key Lab Ecohydrol & Integrated River Basin, Chinese Ecosyst Res Network,Cold & Arid Reg Envir, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
He, Zhibin,Du, Jun,Zhao, Wenzhi,et al. Assessing temperature sensitivity of subalpine shrub phenology in semi-arid mountain regions of China[J]. AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY,2015,213:42-52.
APA He, Zhibin.,Du, Jun.,Zhao, Wenzhi.,Yang, Junjun.,Chen, Longfei.,...&Liu, Hu.(2015).Assessing temperature sensitivity of subalpine shrub phenology in semi-arid mountain regions of China.AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY,213,42-52.
MLA He, Zhibin,et al."Assessing temperature sensitivity of subalpine shrub phenology in semi-arid mountain regions of China".AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY 213(2015):42-52.

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来源:寒区旱区环境与工程研究所

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