Assessment of present and future climate change over Kashmir Himalayas, India
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | ul Shafiq, Mifta1; Ramzan, Shazia1; Ahmed, Pervez1; Mahmood, Rashid2; Dimri, A. P.3 |
| 刊名 | THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
 |
| 出版日期 | 2019-08-01 |
| 卷号 | 137期号:3-4页码:3183-3195 |
| ISSN号 | 0177-798X |
| DOI | 10.1007/s00704-019-02807-x |
| 通讯作者 | Ahmed, Pervez(dr.parvez@uok.edu.in) |
| 英文摘要 | Climate change over mountainous basins necessitates thorough understanding of present and future temperature and precipitation regimes for better water resource management, cryospheric resources, hydropower generation, natural hazard risk assessment, and ecosystem response. Global and regional climate models (GCMs/RCMs) do not represent valley/ridge scale interactions well. There are inherent model biases due to coarser reorientation of model forcings. The present study is an attempt to use the statistical downscaling model (SDSM) to calibrate and validate Canadian Earth System Model (CanESM2) outputs. The outputs have been compared with corresponding in situ observations available at six meteorological stations within the Kashmir basin in western Himalayas. Daily temperatures and precipitation records during present and future time slices have been considered. The three Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) were divided into three future time slices of 2030s, 2060s, and 2090s. Downscaled climate data reveals increase of the mean maximum temperature in the range of 0.3-2.3 degrees C and the mean minimum temperature increase from 0.3-1.9 degrees C under different RCPs when compared with the baseline period of 1980-2010. An increasing trend from 2 to 17% at different meteorological stations under different RCPs has been observed in precipitation. Seasonally, autumn shows the highest variability both in temperature and precipitation followed by spring. |
| WOS关键词 | CHANGE IMPACTS ; MODEL SIMULATIONS ; WATER-RESOURCES ; RIVER-BASIN ; PRECIPITATION ; TEMPERATURE ; SCENARIOS ; GENERATION ; PAKISTAN ; TRENDS |
| 资助项目 | University Grants Commission, New Delhi ; MOES & NCAOR under HiCOM initiative ; MoEFCC under NMHS ; UGC-NETJRF fellowship scheme |
| WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000477054700109 |
| 出版者 | SPRINGER WIEN |
| 资助机构 | University Grants Commission, New Delhi ; MOES & NCAOR under HiCOM initiative ; MoEFCC under NMHS ; UGC-NETJRF fellowship scheme |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/58193]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Ahmed, Pervez |
| 作者单位 | 1.Univ Kashmir, Climate & Cryosphere Grp, Dept Geog & Reg Dev, Srinagar, Jammu & Kashmir, India 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.Jawaharlal Nehru Univ, Sch Environm Sci, New Delhi, India |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | ul Shafiq, Mifta,Ramzan, Shazia,Ahmed, Pervez,et al. Assessment of present and future climate change over Kashmir Himalayas, India[J]. THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY,2019,137(3-4):3183-3195. |
| APA | ul Shafiq, Mifta,Ramzan, Shazia,Ahmed, Pervez,Mahmood, Rashid,&Dimri, A. P..(2019).Assessment of present and future climate change over Kashmir Himalayas, India.THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY,137(3-4),3183-3195. |
| MLA | ul Shafiq, Mifta,et al."Assessment of present and future climate change over Kashmir Himalayas, India".THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY 137.3-4(2019):3183-3195. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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