Future forest dynamics under climate change, land use change, and harvest in subtropical forests in Southern China
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Wu, Zhuo1; Dai, Erfu2 ; Wu, Zhifeng1; Lin, Meizhen1
|
| 刊名 | LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY
 |
| 出版日期 | 2019-04-01 |
| 卷号 | 34期号:4页码:843-863 |
| 关键词 | Forest dynamics Forest disturbances Climate change Land use Model integration Subtropical forests |
| ISSN号 | 0921-2973 |
| DOI | 10.1007/s10980-019-00809-8 |
| 通讯作者 | Wu, Zhuo(gzuwzf@163.com) |
| 英文摘要 | ContextSubtropical forests have and will continue to face tremendous pressure from various disturbances, which have the potential to alter forest composition, structure, and function. Forest dynamics relate to spatial patterns, ecological processes, and their interactions. However, integrating forest ecosystems and land systems has seldom been attempted in southern China.ObjectivesWe explore the spatiotemporal response and trajectories of forest dynamics at different scales under climate change, harvesting, and land-use disturbances in the near future.MethodsWe simulated forest landscape dynamics by integrating a forest landscape model (LANDIS-II), an ecosystem model (PnET-II), and a land change model (CA-Markov) for 2010 to 2050. We identified changes in forest composition, aboveground biomass, and landscape patterns under individual and integrated scenarios, including a control scenario, climate change, harvesting, and land-use change for tree species, ecoregions, and forest types.ResultsFor forest composition, the forest area continued to increase, and coniferous forests increased approximately 3.7 times that of broad-leaved forests. Harvesting reduced aboveground biomass, with a reduction of 30.3% in comparison to the control scenario. The integrated disturbances showed a greater impact on the forest landscape. Landscape fragmentation increased, showing that the patch density increased by 52.3% (control scenario), 46.2% (climate change), 118.4% (harvest), 55.0% (land use change) and 139.5% (integrated scenarios), respectively.ConclusionsOur results suggest that climate change will contribute to forest growth, especially for coniferous forests. Harvesting will reduce forest area and aboveground biomass. The interaction between human activities and climate change contributes to diminished forest expansion and increased landscape fragmentation. |
| WOS关键词 | NET PRIMARY PRODUCTION ; ABOVEGROUND BIOMASS ; SPATIAL SIMULATION ; CONIFER PLANTATION ; BIODIVERSITY LOSS ; DRIVING FORCES ; SEED DISPERSAL ; URBAN SPRAWL ; CHANGE RISK ; LANDSCAPE |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[41801068] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41771097] ; Forestry Science and Technology Innovation Project of Guangdong[2018KJCX013] ; National Basic Research Program of China (973 Program)[2015CB452702] |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Physical Geography ; Geology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000467558400009 |
| 出版者 | SPRINGER |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Forestry Science and Technology Innovation Project of Guangdong ; National Basic Research Program of China (973 Program) |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/59843]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Wu, Zhuo |
| 作者单位 | 1.Guangzhou Univ, Sch Geog Sci, Guangzhou Higher Educ Mega Ctr, 230 Wai Huan Xi Rd, Guangzhou 510006, Guangdong, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, 11A,Datun Rd, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wu, Zhuo,Dai, Erfu,Wu, Zhifeng,et al. Future forest dynamics under climate change, land use change, and harvest in subtropical forests in Southern China[J]. LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY,2019,34(4):843-863. |
| APA | Wu, Zhuo,Dai, Erfu,Wu, Zhifeng,&Lin, Meizhen.(2019).Future forest dynamics under climate change, land use change, and harvest in subtropical forests in Southern China.LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY,34(4),843-863. |
| MLA | Wu, Zhuo,et al."Future forest dynamics under climate change, land use change, and harvest in subtropical forests in Southern China".LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY 34.4(2019):843-863. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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