Impacts of the spatial extent of pollen-climate calibration-set on the absolute values, range and trends of reconstructed Holocene precipitation
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Cao, Xianyong1; Tian, Fang1,2; Telford, Richard J.3; Ni, Jian4; Xu, Qinghai5; Chen, Fahu6; Liu, Xingqi7; Stebich, Martina8; Zhao, Yan9,10 ; Herzschuh, Ulrike1,11,12
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| 刊名 | QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS
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| 出版日期 | 2017-12-15 |
| 卷号 | 178页码:37-53 |
| ISSN号 | 0277-3791 |
| 关键词 | Analogue quality Statistical significance Cross-validation Holocene Climate reconstruction WA-PLS MAT |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.quascirev.2017.10.030 |
| 通讯作者 | Tian, Fang(fang.tian@awi.de) ; Herzschuh, Ulrike(Ulrike.Herzschuh@awi.de) |
| 英文摘要 | Pollen-based quantitative reconstructions of past climate variables is a standard palaeoclimatic approach. Despite knowing that the spatial extent of the calibration-set affects the reconstruction result, guidance is lacking as to how to determine a suitable spatial extent of the pollen-climate calibration-set. In this study, past mean annual precipitation (P-ann) during the Holocene (since 11.5 cal ka BP) is reconstructed repeatedly for pollen records from Qinghai Lake (36.7 degrees N, 100.5 degrees E; north-east Tibetan Plateau), Gonghai Lake (38.9 degrees N, 112.2 degrees E; north China) and Sihailongwan Lake (42.3 degrees N, 126.6 degrees E; north-east China) using calibration-sets of varying spatial extents extracted from the modern pollen dataset of China and Mongolia (2559 sampling sites and 168 pollen taxa in total). Results indicate that the spatial extent of the calibration-set has a strong impact on model performance, analogue quality and reconstruction diagnostics (absolute value, range, trend, optimum). Generally, these effects are stronger with the modern analogue technique (MAT) than with weighted averaging partial least squares (WA-PLS). With respect to fossil spectra from northern China, the spatial extent of calibration-sets should be restricted to radii between ca. 1000 and 1500 km because small-scale calibration-sets (<800 km radius) will likely fail to include enough spatial variation in the modern pollen assemblages to reflect the temporal range shifts during the Holocene, while too broad a scale calibration-set (>1500 km radius) will include taxa with very different pollen-climate relationships. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. |
| WOS关键词 | ASIAN SUMMER MONSOON ; LAKE SIHAILONGWAN ; VARVED SEDIMENTS ; TIBETAN PLATEAU ; NORTHERN CHINA ; ASSEMBLAGES ; VARIABILITY ; VEGETATION ; RECORD ; MOUNTAINS |
| 资助项目 | German Research Foundation ; PalMod project (BMBF) ; Norwegian Research Council FriMedBio project palaeoDrivers[213607] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFC0502101] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFA0600501] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41572338] |
| WOS研究方向 | Physical Geography ; Geology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 出版者 | PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000418974100004 |
| 资助机构 | German Research Foundation ; PalMod project (BMBF) ; Norwegian Research Council FriMedBio project palaeoDrivers ; National Key Research and Development Program of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/60800]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Tian, Fang; Herzschuh, Ulrike |
| 作者单位 | 1.Helmholtz Ctr Polar & Marine Res, Res Unit Potsdam, Alfred Wegener Inst, Telegrafenberg A43, D-14473 Potsdam, Germany 2.Max Planck Inst Meteorol, KlimaCampus,Bundesstr 53, D-20146 Hamburg, Germany 3.Univ Bergen, Dept Biol, EECRG, Bjerknes Ctr Climate Res, POB 7803, N-5020 Bergen, Norway 4.Zhejiang Normal Univ, Coll Chem & Life Sci, Yingbin Ave 688, Jinhua 321004, Peoples R China 5.Hebei Normal Univ, Coll Resources & Environm Sci, Shijiazhuang 050024, Hebei, Peoples R China 6.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Tibetan Plateau Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 7.Capital Normal Univ, Beijing Key Lab Resource Environm & GIS, Coll Resource Environm & Tourism, Beijing 100048, Peoples R China 8.Senckenberg Res Stn Quaternary Palaeontol, Jakobskirchhof 4, D-99423 Weimar, Germany 9.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Datun Rd 11, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 10.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Yuquan Rd 19, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Cao, Xianyong,Tian, Fang,Telford, Richard J.,et al. Impacts of the spatial extent of pollen-climate calibration-set on the absolute values, range and trends of reconstructed Holocene precipitation[J]. QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS,2017,178:37-53. |
| APA | Cao, Xianyong.,Tian, Fang.,Telford, Richard J..,Ni, Jian.,Xu, Qinghai.,...&Herzschuh, Ulrike.(2017).Impacts of the spatial extent of pollen-climate calibration-set on the absolute values, range and trends of reconstructed Holocene precipitation.QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS,178,37-53. |
| MLA | Cao, Xianyong,et al."Impacts of the spatial extent of pollen-climate calibration-set on the absolute values, range and trends of reconstructed Holocene precipitation".QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS 178(2017):37-53. |
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来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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