Scenario-Based Simulation on Dynamics of Land-Use-Land-Cover Change in Punjab Province, Pakistan
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Samie, Abdus1,2,3,4; Deng, Xiangzheng1,3 ; Jia, Siqi1,3; Chen, Dongdong5
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| 刊名 | SUSTAINABILITY
 |
| 出版日期 | 2017-08-01 |
| 卷号 | 9期号:8页码:17 |
| 关键词 | land use change scenarios dynamics of land system (DLS) model Punjab province |
| ISSN号 | 2071-1050 |
| DOI | 10.3390/su9081285 |
| 通讯作者 | Deng, Xiangzheng(dengxz@lreis.ac.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | The dramatic changes in land use are associated with various influencing factors such as socioeconomic, climatic, geophysical and proximity factors. Hence, understanding the driving mechanisms of land use changes is crucial to determine the pattern of future changes in land use. The aim of this study is to project the future land use and land cover changes from 2010 to 2030 in Punjab province under three scenarios: Business-as-Usual scenario (BAU), Rapid Economic Growth scenario (REG) and Coordinated Environmental Sustainability scenario (CES). This article used the previously developed Dynamics of Land System (DLS) model to simulate the land use changes in response to the driving mechanisms. The results indicate that cultivated land and built-up areas would expand while areas of water and grassland would face contraction under all three scenarios. Nevertheless, future land demand varies in different scenarios. Under the CES scenario; forest area would expand in the future while large reduction in unused land would be observed. Under the REG scenario, augmented expansion of built-up areas and drastic decrease in forest areas would be the main features of land use changes. Our findings in the scenario analysis of land use changes can provide a reference case for sustainable land use planning and management in Punjab province. |
| WOS关键词 | CLUE-S MODEL ; CENTRAL HIMALAYA ; CLASSIFICATION ; DETERMINANTS ; RELIABILITY ; RESOURCES ; PATTERNS ; CLIMATE ; SYSTEM ; KAPPA |
| 资助项目 | China National Natural Science Funds for Distinguished Young Scholars[71225005] |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000408861800006 |
| 出版者 | MDPI AG |
| 资助机构 | China National Natural Science Funds for Distinguished Young Scholars |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/61836]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Deng, Xiangzheng |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, IGSNRR, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Chinese Agr Policy, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 4.UAF, IARE, Faisalabad 38000, Pakistan 5.Hubei Univ, Fac Resources & Environm Sci, Wuhan 430062, Hubei, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Samie, Abdus,Deng, Xiangzheng,Jia, Siqi,et al. Scenario-Based Simulation on Dynamics of Land-Use-Land-Cover Change in Punjab Province, Pakistan[J]. SUSTAINABILITY,2017,9(8):17. |
| APA | Samie, Abdus,Deng, Xiangzheng,Jia, Siqi,&Chen, Dongdong.(2017).Scenario-Based Simulation on Dynamics of Land-Use-Land-Cover Change in Punjab Province, Pakistan.SUSTAINABILITY,9(8),17. |
| MLA | Samie, Abdus,et al."Scenario-Based Simulation on Dynamics of Land-Use-Land-Cover Change in Punjab Province, Pakistan".SUSTAINABILITY 9.8(2017):17. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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