Spatiotemporal risk mapping of hand, foot and mouth disease and its association with meteorological variables in children under 5 years
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Xu, C. D.1; Xiao, G. X.2 |
| 刊名 | EPIDEMIOLOGY AND INFECTION
 |
| 出版日期 | 2017-10-01 |
| 卷号 | 145期号:14页码:2912-2920 |
| 关键词 | Foot and mouth disease hand meteorological factors risk mapping |
| ISSN号 | 0950-2688 |
| DOI | 10.1017/S0950268817001984 |
| 通讯作者 | Xu, C. D.(xucd@lreis.ac.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | Hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) risk has become an increasing concern in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, which is the biggest urban agglomeration in north-eastern Asia. In the study, spatiotemporal epidemiological features of HFMD were analysed, and a Bayesian space-time hierarchy model was used to detect local spatial relative risk (RR) and to assess the effect of meteorological factors. From 2009 to 2013, there was an obvious seasonal pattern of HFMD risk. The highest risk period was in the summer, with an average monthly incidence of 4.17/10(3), whereas the index in wintertime was 0.16/10(3). Meteorological variables influenced temporal changes in HFMD. A 1 degrees C rise in air temperature was associated with an 11.5% increase in HFMD (corresponding RR 1.122). A 1% rise in relative humidity was related to a 9.51% increase in the number of HFMD cases (corresponding RR 1.100). A 1 hPa increment in air pressure was related to a 0.11% decrease in HFMD (corresponding RR 0.999). A 1 h increase in sunshine was associated with a 0.28% rise in HFMD cases (corresponding RR 1.003). A 1 m/s rise in wind speed was related to a 6.2% increase in HFMD (corresponding RR 1.064). High-risk areas were mainly large cities, such as Beijing, Tianjin, Shijiazhuang and their neighbouring areas. These findings can contribute to risk control and implementation of disease-prevention policies. |
| WOS关键词 | ENTEROVIRUS 71 ; CHINA ; EPIDEMIC ; MODELS |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[41601419] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41531179] ; Youth Science Funds of LREIS, CAS ; IGSNRR new scientific research project[Y5V5001AYE] ; Innovation Project of LREIS[O88RA205YA] ; Innovation Project of LREIS[O88RA200YA] ; Special Scientific Research Fund of Public Welfare Profession of China[GYHY20140616] |
| WOS研究方向 | Public, Environmental & Occupational Health ; Infectious Diseases |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000413208700005 |
| 出版者 | CAMBRIDGE UNIV PRESS |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Youth Science Funds of LREIS, CAS ; IGSNRR new scientific research project ; Innovation Project of LREIS ; Special Scientific Research Fund of Public Welfare Profession of China |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/62457]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Xu, C. D. |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Beijing, Peoples R China 2.China Natl Ctr Food Safety Risk Assessment, Beijing, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Xu, C. D.,Xiao, G. X.. Spatiotemporal risk mapping of hand, foot and mouth disease and its association with meteorological variables in children under 5 years[J]. EPIDEMIOLOGY AND INFECTION,2017,145(14):2912-2920. |
| APA | Xu, C. D.,&Xiao, G. X..(2017).Spatiotemporal risk mapping of hand, foot and mouth disease and its association with meteorological variables in children under 5 years.EPIDEMIOLOGY AND INFECTION,145(14),2912-2920. |
| MLA | Xu, C. D.,et al."Spatiotemporal risk mapping of hand, foot and mouth disease and its association with meteorological variables in children under 5 years".EPIDEMIOLOGY AND INFECTION 145.14(2017):2912-2920. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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