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Simulation of the climatic effects of land use/land cover changes in eastern China using multi-model ensembles

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Zhang, Xianliang1; Xiong, Zhe2; Zhang, Xuezhen3; Shi, Ying4; Liu, Jiyuan3; Shao, Quanqin3; Yan, Xiaodong5
刊名GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE
出版日期2017-07-01
卷号154页码:1-9
ISSN号0921-8181
关键词Land use change Eastern China Multi-model ensemble WRF RegCM3 RIEMS
DOI10.1016/j.gloplacha.2017.05.003
通讯作者Zhang, Xianliang(zhangxianliang@syau.edu.cn) ; Yan, Xiaodong(yxd@bnu.edu.cn)
英文摘要Human activities have caused substantial land use/cover change (LUCC) in China, especially in northeast China, the Loess Plateau and southern China. Three high-resolution regional climate models were used to simulate the impacts of LUCC on climate through one control experiment and three land use change experiments from 1980 to 2000. The results showed that multi-regional climate model ensemble simulations (the arithmetic ensemble mean (AEM) and Bayesian model averaging (BMA)) provide more accurate results than a single model in over 70% grid cells of study regions. Uncertainty was reduced when using the two ensemble methods. The results of the AEM and BMA ensembles showed that the temperatures decreased by 0.2-0.4 degrees C in northeast China, the Yangtze river valley and the north of the Loess Plateau, and by 0.6-1.0 degrees C in the south of the Loess Plateau in spring, autumn and winter. The AEM precipitations changed by - 40-40 min in in spring and winter, and by - 100-100 mm in summer and autumn, while the BMA precipitations changed by - 20-20 tom in spring, autumn and winter, and by - 50-50 mm in summer. The seasonal precipitation decreased in northeast China and the Yangtze river valley, and increased in the Loess Plateau in most grid cells of study regions. Winter and spring precipitation decreased more in the Yangtze river valley and the Loess Plateau than in northeast China.
WOS关键词ANTHROPOGENIC TRANSFORMATION ; TROPICAL DEFORESTATION ; MODEL ; ASIA ; CLASSIFICATION ; IMPACTS
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China[41601045] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[31570632] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41571094] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[31570473] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[91425304] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41471171] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41271066] ; IGSNRR[2015RC101]
WOS研究方向Physical Geography ; Geology
语种英语
出版者ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
WOS记录号WOS:000404701000001
资助机构National Natural Science Foundation of China ; IGSNRR
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/63108]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Zhang, Xianliang; Yan, Xiaodong
作者单位1.Shenyang Agr Univ, Coll Forestry, Shenyang 110866, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, CAS Key Lab Reg Climate Environm East Asia, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
4.China Meteorol Adm, Natl Climate Ctr, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China
5.Beijing Normal Univ, State Key Lab Earth Stuface Proc & Resource Ecol, Beijing 100087, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Zhang, Xianliang,Xiong, Zhe,Zhang, Xuezhen,et al. Simulation of the climatic effects of land use/land cover changes in eastern China using multi-model ensembles[J]. GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE,2017,154:1-9.
APA Zhang, Xianliang.,Xiong, Zhe.,Zhang, Xuezhen.,Shi, Ying.,Liu, Jiyuan.,...&Yan, Xiaodong.(2017).Simulation of the climatic effects of land use/land cover changes in eastern China using multi-model ensembles.GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE,154,1-9.
MLA Zhang, Xianliang,et al."Simulation of the climatic effects of land use/land cover changes in eastern China using multi-model ensembles".GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE 154(2017):1-9.

入库方式： OAI收割

来源：地理科学与资源研究所

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