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Impact of Future Climate Change on Regional Crop Water RequirementA Case Study of Hetao Irrigation District, China

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Zhou, Tianwa1; Wu, Pute2; Sun, Shikun2,3,4; Li, Xiaolei1; Wang, Yubao3,4; Luan, Xiaobo5
刊名WATER
出版日期2017-06-01
卷号9期号:6页码:13
关键词climate change SDSM ET0 ETc crop irrigation requirement
ISSN号2073-4441
DOI10.3390/w9060429
通讯作者Wu, Pute(gjzwpt@vip.sina.com) ; Sun, Shikun(ssksci@163.com)
英文摘要Water shortage is a limiting factor for agricultural production in China, and climate change will affect agricultural water use. Studying the effects of climate change on crop irrigation requirement (CIR) would help to tackle climate change, from both food security and sustainable water resource use perspectives. This paper applied SDSM (Statistical DownScaling Model) to simulate future meteorological parameters in the Hetao irrigation district (HID) in the time periods 2041-2070 and 2071-2099, and used the Penman-Monteith equation to calculate reference crop evapotranspiration (ET0), which was further used to calculate crop evapotranspiration (ETc) and crop water requirement (CWR). CWR and predicted future precipitation were used to calculate CIR. The results show that the climate in the HID will become warmer and wetter; ET0 would would increase by 4% to 7%; ETc and CWR have the same trend as ET0, but different crops have different increase rates. CIR would increase because of the coefficient of the increase of CWR and the decrease of effective precipitation. Based on the current growing area, the CIR would increase by 198 x 10(6) to 242 x 10(6) m(3) by the year 2041-2070, and by 342 x 10(6) to 456 x 10(6) m(3) by the years 2071-2099 respectively. Future climate change will bring greater challenges to regional agricultural water use.
WOS关键词STATISTICAL DOWNSCALING MODEL ; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ; VARIABILITY ; FOOTPRINT ; DEMAND ; SDSM
资助项目National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFC0400201] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[51409218] ; Natural Science Basic Research Plan in Shaanxi Province of China[2016JQ5092] ; Natural Science Basic Research Plan in Shaanxi Province of China[2016KTZDNY-01-01] ; Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities[2014YB050]
WOS研究方向Water Resources
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000404559900067
出版者MDPI AG
资助机构National Key Research and Development Program of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Natural Science Basic Research Plan in Shaanxi Province of China ; Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/63215]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Wu, Pute; Sun, Shikun
作者单位1.Northwest A&F Univ, Inst Soil & Water Conservat, Yangling 712100, Peoples R China
2.Northwest A&F Univ, Inst Water Saving Agr Arid Reg China, Yangling 712100, Peoples R China
3.Northwest A&F Univ, Minist Educ, Key Lab Agr Soil & Water Engn Arid & Semiarid Are, Yangling 712100, Peoples R China
4.Northwest A&F Univ, Coll Water Resources & Architectural Engn, Yangling 712100, Peoples R China
5.Chinese Acad Sci & Minist Water Resources, Inst Soil & Water Conservat, Yangling 712100, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Zhou, Tianwa,Wu, Pute,Sun, Shikun,et al. Impact of Future Climate Change on Regional Crop Water RequirementA Case Study of Hetao Irrigation District, China[J]. WATER,2017,9(6):13.
APA Zhou, Tianwa,Wu, Pute,Sun, Shikun,Li, Xiaolei,Wang, Yubao,&Luan, Xiaobo.(2017).Impact of Future Climate Change on Regional Crop Water RequirementA Case Study of Hetao Irrigation District, China.WATER,9(6),13.
MLA Zhou, Tianwa,et al."Impact of Future Climate Change on Regional Crop Water RequirementA Case Study of Hetao Irrigation District, China".WATER 9.6(2017):13.

入库方式： OAI收割

来源：地理科学与资源研究所

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