Control dynamics of severe acute respiratory syndrome transmission
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Wang HY(汪海英); Rong F(荣峰)![]() ![]() ![]() |
刊名 | Chinese Science Bulletin/中国科学通报(英文版)
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出版日期 | 2003 |
卷号 | 48期号:24页码:2684-2687 |
关键词 | Sars Basic Reproduction Number Effective Reproduction Number Scale Of Epidemic Lasting Time Of Epidemic Sars |
ISSN号 | 1001-6538 |
通讯作者 | Wang, HY (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Mech, State Key Lab Nonlinear Mech, Beijing 100080, Peoples R China. |
中文摘要 | Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) is a serious disease with many puzzling features. We present a simple, dynamic model to assess the epidemic potential of SARS and the effectiveness of control measures. With this model, we analysed the SARS epidemic data in Beijing. The data fitting gives the basic case reproduction number of 2.16 leading to the outbreak, and the variation of the effective reproduction number reflecting the control effect. Noticeably, our study shows that the response time and the strength of control measures have significant effects on the scale of the outbreak and the lasting time of the epidemic. |
类目[WOS] | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
研究领域[WOS] | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
关键词[WOS] | SARS |
收录类别 | SCI |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000188504500005 |
公开日期 | 2009-08-03 ; 2010-06-13 |
源URL | [http://dspace.imech.ac.cn/handle/311007/33711] ![]() |
专题 | 力学研究所_力学所知识产出(1956-2008) |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wang HY,Rong F,Ke FJ,et al. Control dynamics of severe acute respiratory syndrome transmission[J]. Chinese Science Bulletin/中国科学通报(英文版),2003,48(24):2684-2687. |
APA | 汪海英,荣峰,柯孚久,&白以龙.(2003).Control dynamics of severe acute respiratory syndrome transmission.Chinese Science Bulletin/中国科学通报(英文版),48(24),2684-2687. |
MLA | 汪海英,et al."Control dynamics of severe acute respiratory syndrome transmission".Chinese Science Bulletin/中国科学通报(英文版) 48.24(2003):2684-2687. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:力学研究所
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