A fuzzy-based simulation method for modelling hydrological processes under uncertainty
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Huang ; Chen ; Li ; Huang ; Liu ; Y. ; X. ; Y. P. ; G. H. ; T. |
| 刊名 | HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES
 |
| 出版日期 | 2010 |
| 卷号 | 24期号:25页码:3718-3732 |
| 关键词 | WATER-RESOURCES MANAGEMENT MEDIUM-SIZE CATCHMENT PROGRAMMING MODEL SOLUTE TRANSPORT RISK-ASSESSMENT RIVER-BASIN TARIM RIVER MIKE SHE CONTAMINATION GROUNDWATER |
| ISSN号 | 0885-6087 |
| 通讯作者 | Li, YP, N China Elect Power Univ, Res Acad Energy & Environm Studies, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China |
| 中文摘要 | In this study, a fuzzy-based simulation method (FBSM) is developed for modelling hydrological processes associated with vague information through coupling fuzzy vertex analysis technique with distributed hydrological model. The FBSM can handle uncertainties existed as fuzzy sets in the hydrological modelling systems, and solutions under an associated number of alpha-cut levels can be generated by solving 2(n) deterministic models. The lower reach of the Tarim River Basin in China is selected as a study case for demonstrating applicability of the proposed method. The developed model is calibrated and validated against observed groundwater elevation for four wells during the period 2000-2001, and generally performed acceptable for model Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient (R2) and correlation coefficient (R). The R2 is approximately over 0.65 and the correlation coefficient is higher than 0.90. Based on the technique of fuzzy simulation, the uncertainties of two parameters (K-H and LC) are reflected under different alpha-cut levels. The results indicate that, under a lower degree of plausibility, the interval between the lower and upper bounds of the groundwater elevation is wider; conversely, a higher degree of plausibility would lead to a narrow interval. The main effect of K-H is more significant than the effect of LC at most well sites. The proposed method is useful for studying hydrological processes within a system containing multiple factors with uncertainties and providing support for identifying proper water resources management strategies. Copyright (C) 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. |
| 学科主题 | 水文地理学及水资源 |
| 收录类别 | SCI |
| 公开日期 | 2011-08-19 |
| 源URL | [http://ir.xjlas.org/handle/365004/9862]  |
| 专题 | 新疆生态与地理研究所_中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所(2010年以前数据) |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Huang,Chen,Li,et al. A fuzzy-based simulation method for modelling hydrological processes under uncertainty[J]. HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES,2010,24(25):3718-3732. |
| APA | Huang.,Chen.,Li.,Huang.,Liu.,...&T..(2010).A fuzzy-based simulation method for modelling hydrological processes under uncertainty.HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES,24(25),3718-3732. |
| MLA | Huang,et al."A fuzzy-based simulation method for modelling hydrological processes under uncertainty".HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES 24.25(2010):3718-3732. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：新疆生态与地理研究所
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