Recent and future climate change in northwest china
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Shi ; Shen ; Kang ; Li ; Ding ; Zhang ; Hu ; Yafeng ; Yongping ; Ersi ; Dongliang ; Yongjian ; Guowei ; Ruji |
刊名 | CLIMATIC CHANGE
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出版日期 | 2007 |
卷号 | 80期号:40606页码:379-393 |
ISSN号 | 0165-0009 |
通讯作者 | Shi, YF, Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog & Limnol, Nanjing 210008, Peoples R China |
中文摘要 | As a consequence of global warming and an enhanced water cycle, the climate changed in northwest China, most notably in the Xinjiang area in the year 1987. Precipitation, glacial melt water and river runoff and air temperature increased continuously during the last decades, as did also the water level of inland lakes and the frequency of flood disasters. As a result, the vegetation cover is improved, number of days with sand-dust storms reduced. From the end of the 19th century to the 1970s, the climate was warm and dry, and then changed to warm and wet. The effects on northwest China can be classified into three classes by using the relation between precipitation and evaporation increase. If precipitation increases more than evaporation, runoff increases and lake water levels rise. We identify regions with: (1) notable change, (2) slight change and (3) no change. The future climate for doubled CO2 concentration is simulated in a nested approach with the regional climate model-RegCM2. The annual temperature will increase by 2.7 degrees C and annual precipitation by 25%. The cooling effect of aerosols and natural factors will reduce this increase to 2.0 degrees C and 19% of precipitation. As a consequence, annual runoff may increase by more than 10%. |
收录类别 | SCI |
公开日期 | 2011-08-19 |
源URL | [http://ir.xjlas.org/handle/365004/10382] ![]() |
专题 | 新疆生态与地理研究所_中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所(2010年以前数据) |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Shi,Shen,Kang,et al. Recent and future climate change in northwest china[J]. CLIMATIC CHANGE,2007,80(40606):379-393. |
APA | Shi.,Shen.,Kang.,Li.,Ding.,...&Ruji.(2007).Recent and future climate change in northwest china.CLIMATIC CHANGE,80(40606),379-393. |
MLA | Shi,et al."Recent and future climate change in northwest china".CLIMATIC CHANGE 80.40606(2007):379-393. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:新疆生态与地理研究所
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